| Wk | Date | Opponent | PROJ / OU | Win% | Result | VEGAS ODDS |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | 09/05 | vs Sam Houston | -16.0 / 48.8 | 76% | W 24-21 (1-0) | -16.5 ✗ / 53.0 U |
| 2 | 09/12 | vsAlabama State | - | - | W 34-17 (2-0) | -24.0 ✗ / 52.5 U |
| 3 | 09/19 | @#11  Missouri | +22.1 / 46.6 | 15% | L 17-27 (2-1) | +27.0 ✓ / 50.0 U |
| 4 | 09/26 | @ Utah State | +5.3 / 44.3 | 41% | L 10-21 (2-2) | +3.0 ✗ / 47.5 U |
| 5 | IDLE | |||||
| 6 | 10/07 | vs Southern Miss | -9.8 / 55.7 | 66% | W 55-34 (3-2) | -9.5 ✓ / 51.5 O |
| 7 | 10/17 | @ Louisiana | +0.7 / 49.3 | 49% | - | +5.5 / 48.5 |
| 8 | 10/24 | vs UL Monroe | -20.7 / 49.0 | 83% | - | - |
| 9 | 10/29 | @ James Madison | +16.6 / 50.1 | 23% | - | - |
| 10 | 11/07 | vs Louisiana Tech | -3.3 / 52.5 | 55% | - | - |
| 11 | 11/14 | @ South Alabama | +0.4 / 64.4 | 49% | - | - |
| 12 | 11/21 | vs Georgia Southern | -5.1 / 52.2 | 58% | - | - |
| 13 | 11/28 | @ Arkansas State | -3.2 / 48.2 | 55% | - | - |
| Unit | Raw | Adj | Delta |
|---|---|---|---|
| Offense PPG | 22.4 | 22.7 | +0.3 |
| Offense YPG | 364.5 | 353.8 | -10.7 |
| Offense YPP | 5.25 | 5.27 | +0.02 |
| Defense PPG | 25.5 | 26.7 | +1.2 |
| Defense YPG | 399.9 | 383.7 | -16.1 |
| Defense YPP | 6.22 | 6.10 | -0.13 |
| Metric | Value | Rank |
|---|---|---|
| Mean (Current) | -8.0 | 101 |
| Median (Current) | -7.0 | 103 |
| Mean (Historical) | -9.8 | 107 |
| Median (Historical) | -10.2 | 119 |
If Troy replayed this schedule with current unit ratings, how would they do?
Model a game Troy isn't playing this year. Who would win?
How would Troy do with another team's schedule?