Ole Miss

BMPR #13 AP #9 Coaches #10 4-1 SEC
Season TimelineCurrent
Power Rating
+15.7
Rank #13
Offense (Adj PPG)
38.7
Rank #4
Defense (Adj PPG)
23.0
Rank #42
Actual Record
4-1
All games played
Projected Wins
7.9
7 games remaining
Expected Wins
3.3
Based on ratings

Schedule

WkDateOpponentPROJ / OUWin%ResultVEGAS ODDS
109/06vsLouisville logoLouisville-6.4 / 66.160%W 41-38 (1-0)-6.5 ✗ / 55.0 O
209/12vsCharlotte logoCharlotte-42.5 / 60.6100%W 41-9 (2-0)-44.5 ✗ / 59.5 U
309/19vs#12 LSU logoLSU-0.1 / 54.950%W 32-24 (3-0)+3.0 ✓ / 58.5 U
409/26@Florida logoFlorida-4.1 / 69.457%L 28-52 (3-1)+4.0 ✗ / 58.5 O
5IDLE
610/10@Vanderbilt logoVanderbilt-6.8 / 66.661%W 52-17 (4-1)-9.0 ✓ / 54.0 O
710/17vs#11 Missouri logoMissouri-0.0 / 55.450%--6.0 / 60.5
810/24@#9 Texas logoTexas+7.4 / 53.438%-+8.5 / 54.5
910/31vsAuburn logoAuburn-7.4 / 51.162%--
1011/07vs#3 Georgia logoGeorgia+9.7 / 59.534%-+4.5 / 55.5
1111/14@#17 Oklahoma logoOklahoma+3.3 / 50.145%-+4.0 / 53.5
1211/21vsWofford----
1311/27vsMississippi State logoMississippi State-8.6 / 71.464%--14.5 / 57.5

Unit Breakdown

UnitRawAdjDelta
Offense PPG37.638.7+1.1
Offense YPG797.9535.4-262.5
Offense YPP6.927.01+0.09
Defense PPG26.923.0-3.8
Defense YPG715.6389.4-326.2
Defense YPP5.645.41-0.23

Strength of Schedule

MetricValueRank
Mean (Current)+6.415
Median (Current)+9.812
Mean (Historical)+4.29
Median (Historical)+9.66

View full SOS rankings

Expected Wins (Retrospective)

If Ole Miss replayed this schedule with current unit ratings, how would they do?

Actual: 4-1 Expected: 3.3 wins Culture Factor: +0.7 (Winners Win)
0-5
0.0%
1-4
3.4%
2-3
17.8%
3-2
36.2%
4-1
32.0%
5-0
10.5%

Projected Wins

Projected Wins
7.9
4-8
0.1%
5-7
2.0%
6-6
10.7%
7-5
25.1%
8-4
31.5%
9-3
21.9%
10-2
7.7%
11-1
1.1%

Entertaining Hypotheticals

Fantasy Matchup

Model a game Ole Miss isn't playing this year. Who would win?

Schedule Swap

How would Ole Miss do with another team's schedule?