Florida

BMPR #31 AP NR Coaches NR 4-2 SEC
Season TimelineCurrent
Power Rating
+9.5
Rank #31
Offense (Adj PPG)
35.0
Rank #15
Defense (Adj PPG)
25.5
Rank #67
Actual Record
4-2
All games played
Projected Wins
6.5
6 games remaining
Expected Wins
3.5
Based on ratings

Schedule

WkDateOpponentPROJ / OUWin%ResultVEGAS ODDS
109/05vsFlorida Atlantic logoFlorida Atlantic-22.4 / 71.886%W 66-21 (1-0)-26.5 ✓ / 59.5 O
209/12vsCampbell--W 52-3 (2-0)-51.5 ✗ / 67.0 U
309/19@Auburn logoAuburn+3.3 / 50.445%W 44-39 (3-0)-2.5 ✓ / 53.5 O
409/26vs#13 Ole Miss logoOle Miss+4.1 / 69.443%W 52-28 (4-0)-4.0 ✓ / 58.5 O
510/03@#11 Missouri logoMissouri+10.9 / 55.133%L 17-45 (4-1)-5.5 ✗ / 57.5 O
610/10vsSouth Carolina logoSouth Carolina-1.6 / 61.553%L 19-38 (4-2)-10.5 ✗ / 59.5 U
710/17@#9 Texas logoTexas+13.2 / 53.329%-+10.0 / 52.5
8IDLE
910/31@#3 Georgia logoGeorgia+18.3 / 59.721%-+12.5 / 53.5
1011/07vs#17 Oklahoma logoOklahoma+3.9 / 49.744%--
1111/14@Kentucky logoKentucky+1.2 / 62.648%--
1211/21vsVanderbilt logoVanderbilt-5.5 / 65.659%--
1311/27@Florida State logoFlorida State+0.1 / 63.350%--4.5 / 52.5

Unit Breakdown

UnitRawAdjDelta
Offense PPG34.135.0+0.8
Offense YPG417.1434.6+17.5
Offense YPP6.506.64+0.14
Defense PPG32.125.5-6.6
Defense YPG441.5362.3-79.2
Defense YPP6.405.91-0.49

Strength of Schedule

MetricValueRank
Mean (Current)+7.27
Median (Current)+9.317
Mean (Historical)+0.223
Median (Historical)+8.48

View full SOS rankings

Expected Wins (Retrospective)

If Florida replayed this schedule with current unit ratings, how would they do?

Actual: 4-2 Expected: 3.5 wins Culture Factor: +0.5 (Neutral)
0-6
0.1%
1-5
2.0%
2-4
14.3%
3-3
32.6%
4-2
32.9%
5-1
15.4%
6-0
2.8%

Projected Wins

Projected Wins
6.5
4-8
3.5%
5-7
16.4%
6-6
31.2%
7-5
29.6%
8-4
15.2%
9-3
3.8%
10-2
0.3%

Entertaining Hypotheticals

Fantasy Matchup

Model a game Florida isn't playing this year. Who would win?

Schedule Swap

How would Florida do with another team's schedule?