| Wk | Date | Opponent | PROJ / OU | Win% | Result | VEGAS ODDS |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | 09/06 | @#13  Ole Miss | +6.4 / 66.1 | 40% | L 38-41 (0-1) | +6.5 ✓ / 55.0 O |
| 2 | 09/11 | vsVillanova | - | - | W 59-13 (1-1) | -38.5 ✓ / 57.0 O |
| 3 | 09/19 | vs SMU | -6.5 / 59.4 | 60% | W 41-31 (2-1) | -3.0 ✓ / 57.5 O |
| 4 | 09/26 | vs Wake Forest | -1.6 / 58.2 | 53% | L 27-30 (2-2) | -11.5 ✗ / 57.5 U |
| 5 | 10/03 | @ NC State | -8.0 / 62.2 | 63% | L 28-31 (2-3) | -5.5 ✗ / 56.5 O |
| 6 | 10/09 | vs Florida State | -4.3 / 60.3 | 57% | W 44-20 (3-3) | -4.5 ✓ / 60.5 O |
| 7 | 10/17 | @ Syracuse | -13.8 / 57.6 | 72% | - | -12.5 / 56.5 |
| 8 | IDLE | |||||
| 9 | 10/31 | vs Stanford | -24.6 / 60.4 | 90% | - | - |
| 10 | 11/07 | @ Georgia Tech | -7.4 / 60.5 | 62% | - | - |
| 11 | 11/14 | @ North Carolina | -6.9 / 51.2 | 61% | - | - |
| 12 | 11/21 | vs Pittsburgh | -4.4 / 56.7 | 57% | - | - |
| 13 | 11/28 | @ Kentucky | +0.9 / 59.5 | 49% | - | - |
| Unit | Raw | Adj | Delta |
|---|---|---|---|
| Offense PPG | 30.5 | 33.3 | +2.8 |
| Offense YPG | 424.8 | 444.8 | +20.1 |
| Offense YPP | 7.06 | 7.25 | +0.18 |
| Defense PPG | 26.4 | 24.1 | -2.3 |
| Defense YPG | 391.6 | 359.1 | -32.6 |
| Defense YPP | 5.67 | 5.37 | -0.30 |
| Metric | Value | Rank |
|---|---|---|
| Mean (Current) | -0.2 | 57 |
| Median (Current) | +2.4 | 47 |
| Mean (Historical) | +1.6 | 18 |
| Median (Historical) | +6.1 | 16 |
If Louisville replayed this schedule with current unit ratings, how would they do?
Model a game Louisville isn't playing this year. Who would win?
How would Louisville do with another team's schedule?