Utah State

BMPR #72 AP NR Coaches NR 2-4 Pac-12
Season TimelineCurrent
Power Rating
-0.9
Rank #72
Offense (Adj PPG)
23.1
Rank #90
Defense (Adj PPG)
24.0
Rank #51
Actual Record
2-4
All games played
Projected Wins
4.6
5 games remaining
Expected Wins
2.8
Based on ratings

Schedule

WkDateOpponentPROJ / OUWin%ResultVEGAS ODDS
109/05vsIdaho State--L 17-29 (0-1)-15.5 ✗ / 59.5 U
209/12@Washington logoWashington+8.6 / 44.636%L 14-16 (0-2)+28.5 ✓ / 55.5 U
309/19@#7 Utah logoUtah+24.9 / 49.410%L 0-33 (0-3)+26.5 ✗ / 55.5 U
409/26vsTroy logoTroy-5.3 / 44.359%W 21-10 (1-3)-3.0 ✓ / 47.5 U
510/03@#21 Boise State logoBoise State+15.4 / 51.225%L 18-37 (1-4)+19.5 ✓ / 51.5 O
610/10vsWashington State logoWashington State-5.0 / 36.758%W 17-16 (2-4)-4.0 ✗ / 43.5 U
7IDLE
810/24@Texas State logoTexas State-1.2 / 57.752%--
910/31vsColorado State logoColorado State-11.4 / 58.668%--
1011/08vsFresno State logoFresno State+0.5 / 43.949%--
1111/15@San Diego State logoSan Diego State-3.4 / 41.556%--
1211/22@Oregon State logoOregon State+7.2 / 50.439%--

Unit Breakdown

UnitRawAdjDelta
Offense PPG18.523.1+4.6
Offense YPG336.5345.8+9.3
Offense YPP5.445.54+0.11
Defense PPG22.924.0+1.1
Defense YPG411.1390.6-20.5
Defense YPP5.685.72+0.04

Strength of Schedule

MetricValueRank
Mean (Current)-1.765
Median (Current)-3.682
Mean (Historical)-0.129
Median (Historical)+3.926

View full SOS rankings

Expected Wins (Retrospective)

If Utah State replayed this schedule with current unit ratings, how would they do?

Actual: 2-4 Expected: 2.8 wins Culture Factor: -0.8 (Underperforming)
0-6
0.4%
1-5
8.5%
2-4
28.8%
3-3
37.1%
4-2
20.3%
5-1
4.5%
6-0
0.3%

Projected Wins

Projected Wins
4.6
2-9
2.1%
3-8
12.9%
4-7
29.6%
5-6
33.6%
6-5
18.1%
7-4
3.7%

Entertaining Hypotheticals

Fantasy Matchup

Model a game Utah State isn't playing this year. Who would win?

Schedule Swap

How would Utah State do with another team's schedule?