| Wk | Date | Opponent | PROJ / OU | Win% | Result | VEGAS ODDS |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | 09/05 | @#19  USC | +13.0 / 56.7 | 29% | L 0-39 (0-1) | +22.5 ✗ / 51.0 U |
| 2 | 09/13 | vs Sacramento State | -33.0 / 46.3 | 100% | W 49-3 (1-1) | -17.5 ✓ / 43.5 O |
| 3 | 09/20 | @ San Jose State | -6.6 / 43.4 | 61% | W 26-10 (2-1) | -4.0 ✓ / 47.5 U |
| 4 | 09/27 | vs Rice | -17.1 / 45.4 | 77% | W 38-24 (3-1) | -12.5 ✓ / 43.5 O |
| 5 | 10/04 | @ Washington State | -2.7 / 38.6 | 54% | W 26-6 (4-1) | +2.5 ✓ / 44.5 U |
| 6 | 10/11 | vs#21  Boise State | +7.3 / 53.5 | 38% | L 31-38 (4-2) | +9.5 ✓ / 48.5 O |
| 7 | 10/18 | @ San Diego State | -6.3 / 43.3 | 60% | - | -8.5 / 43.5 |
| 8 | IDLE | |||||
| 9 | 10/31 | vs Oregon State | -0.9 / 52.1 | 51% | - | - |
| 10 | 11/08 | @ Utah State | -0.5 / 43.9 | 51% | - | - |
| 11 | 11/14 | @ Texas State | -4.7 / 59.4 | 57% | - | - |
| 12 | 11/22 | vs Colorado State | -15.0 / 61.1 | 74% | - | - |
| Unit | Raw | Adj | Delta |
|---|---|---|---|
| Offense PPG | 28.5 | 25.5 | -3.0 |
| Offense YPG | 365.9 | 370.4 | +4.6 |
| Offense YPP | 6.05 | 5.58 | -0.47 |
| Defense PPG | 20.2 | 23.4 | +3.2 |
| Defense YPG | 366.5 | 458.9 | +92.4 |
| Defense YPP | 5.58 | 5.95 | +0.37 |
| Metric | Value | Rank |
|---|---|---|
| Mean (Current) | -4.3 | 81 |
| Median (Current) | -4.9 | 88 |
| Mean (Historical) | +0.5 | 22 |
| Median (Historical) | -0.2 | 50 |
If Fresno State replayed this schedule with current unit ratings, how would they do?
Model a game Fresno State isn't playing this year. Who would win?
How would Fresno State do with another team's schedule?