| Wk | Date | Opponent | PROJ / OU | Win% | Result | VEGAS ODDS |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | 09/06 | vsPortland State | - | - | W 53-20 (1-0) | -38.5 ✗ / 61.5 O |
| 2 | 09/12 | @ UCLA | +19.9 / 49.1 | 18% | L 10-28 (1-1) | +13.5 ✗ / 53.5 U |
| 3 | 09/20 | vs James Madison | +14.3 / 47.4 | 27% | L 13-26 (1-2) | -3.0 ✗ / 46.5 U |
| 4 | 09/26 | @ Toledo | +8.5 / 48.9 | 36% | L 16-41 (1-3) | +2.5 ✗ / 50.5 O |
| 5 | 10/04 | vs Texas State | +1.3 / 56.8 | 48% | W 31-29 (2-3) | +10.0 ✓ / 57.5 O |
| 6 | 10/10 | @ Oregon State | +13.7 / 50.0 | 28% | L 14-66 (2-4) | +14.5 ✗ / 52.0 O |
| 7 | 10/18 | vs Fresno State | +6.3 / 43.3 | 40% | - | +8.5 / 43.5 |
| 8 | 10/24 | @ Colorado State | +0.4 / 57.1 | 49% | - | - |
| 9 | 10/31 | vs Washington State | +0.3 / 35.7 | 49% | - | - |
| 10 | IDLE | |||||
| 11 | 11/15 | vs Utah State | +3.4 / 41.5 | 44% | - | - |
| 12 | 11/22 | @#21  Boise State | +21.1 / 50.9 | 16% | - | - |
| Unit | Raw | Adj | Delta |
|---|---|---|---|
| Offense PPG | 17.9 | 19.6 | +1.7 |
| Offense YPG | 268.2 | 286.1 | +17.8 |
| Offense YPP | 4.59 | 4.96 | +0.38 |
| Defense PPG | 27.9 | 26.8 | -1.1 |
| Defense YPG | 415.5 | 392.9 | -22.6 |
| Defense YPP | 5.69 | 5.49 | -0.21 |
| Metric | Value | Rank |
|---|---|---|
| Mean (Current) | -1.5 | 64 |
| Median (Current) | -0.9 | 70 |
| Mean (Historical) | -5.3 | 67 |
| Median (Historical) | -1.8 | 63 |
If San Diego State replayed this schedule with current unit ratings, how would they do?
Model a game San Diego State isn't playing this year. Who would win?
How would San Diego State do with another team's schedule?