
| Wk | Date | Opponent | PROJ / OU | Win% | Result | VEGAS ODDS |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | 09/05 | @#10 Oregon | +8.4 / 56.0 | 37% | L 27-34 (0-1) | +25.0 ✓ / 51.5 O |
| 2 | 09/12 | vs Memphis | -8.0 / 61.5 | 63% | W 38-20 (1-1) | -9.0 ✓ / 54.5 O |
| 3 | 09/20 | vsSouth Dakota | - | - | W 38-24 (2-1) | -28.5 ✗ / 61.5 O |
| 4 | 09/26 | @ Western Michigan | -11.1 / 45.9 | 68% | W 32-7 (3-1) | -8.5 ✓ / 50.5 U |
| 5 | 10/03 | vs Utah State | -15.4 / 51.2 | 75% | W 37-18 (4-1) | -19.5 ✗ / 51.5 O |
| 6 | 10/11 | @ Fresno State | -7.3 / 53.5 | 62% | W 38-31 (5-1) | -9.5 ✗ / 48.5 O |
| 7 | IDLE | |||||
| 8 | 10/24 | @ Washington State | -12.0 / 45.9 | 69% | - | - |
| 9 | 11/01 | vs Texas State | -21.2 / 67.5 | 84% | - | - |
| 10 | 11/07 | @ Colorado State | -21.9 / 70.7 | 85% | - | - |
| 11 | 11/14 | vs Oregon State | -11.1 / 59.5 | 68% | - | - |
| 12 | 11/22 | vs San Diego State | -21.1 / 50.9 | 84% | - | - |
| Unit | Raw | Adj | Delta |
|---|---|---|---|
| Offense PPG | 35.5 | 34.4 | -1.1 |
| Offense YPG | 456.4 | 412.7 | -43.7 |
| Offense YPP | 6.16 | 6.12 | -0.04 |
| Defense PPG | 22.0 | 22.1 | +0.1 |
| Defense YPG | 382.5 | 354.4 | -28.1 |
| Defense YPP | 6.61 | 6.45 | -0.16 |
| Metric | Value | Rank |
|---|---|---|
| Mean (Current) | -2.9 | 75 |
| Median (Current) | -2.1 | 74 |
| Mean (Historical) | -0.5 | 35 |
| Median (Historical) | +1.2 | 40 |
If Boise State replayed this schedule with current unit ratings, how would they do?
Model a game Boise State isn't playing this year. Who would win?
How would Boise State do with another team's schedule?