| Wk | Date | Opponent | PROJ / OU | Win% | Result | VEGAS ODDS |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | 09/05 | @#9  Texas | +26.9 / 58.1 | 7% | L 7-59 (0-1) | +29.5 ✗ / 61.5 O |
| 2 | 09/12 | vs UTSA | +1.5 / 67.9 | 48% | L 26-31 (0-2) | -1.5 ✗ / 65.5 U |
| 3 | 09/19 | vs North Texas | +10.0 / 82.7 | 34% | W 49-35 (1-2) | -3.0 ✓ / 62.5 O |
| 4 | 09/26 | vsIncarnate Word | - | - | W 63-10 (2-2) | -30.5 ✓ / 66.5 O |
| 5 | 10/04 | @ San Diego State | -1.3 / 56.8 | 52% | L 29-31 (2-3) | -10.0 ✗ / 57.5 O |
| 6 | IDLE | |||||
| 7 | 10/16 | vs Colorado State | -8.6 / 76.1 | 64% | - | -12.5 / 67.5 |
| 8 | 10/24 | vs Utah State | +1.2 / 57.7 | 48% | - | - |
| 9 | 11/01 | @#21  Boise State | +21.2 / 67.5 | 16% | - | - |
| 10 | 11/08 | @ Oregon State | +11.9 / 67.6 | 31% | - | - |
| 11 | 11/14 | vs Fresno State | +4.7 / 59.4 | 43% | - | - |
| 12 | 11/21 | vs Washington State | -2.3 / 50.9 | 54% | - | - |
| Unit | Raw | Adj | Delta |
|---|---|---|---|
| Offense PPG | 33.9 | 29.3 | -4.6 |
| Offense YPG | 496.6 | 479.3 | -17.4 |
| Offense YPP | 6.89 | 6.64 | -0.24 |
| Defense PPG | 31.5 | 34.2 | +2.7 |
| Defense YPG | 402.9 | 432.8 | +29.9 |
| Defense YPP | 5.78 | 6.14 | +0.36 |
| Metric | Value | Rank |
|---|---|---|
| Mean (Current) | -1.3 | 62 |
| Median (Current) | -0.4 | 64 |
| Mean (Historical) | -1.4 | 42 |
| Median (Historical) | +0.7 | 42 |
If Texas State replayed this schedule with current unit ratings, how would they do?
Model a game Texas State isn't playing this year. Who would win?
How would Texas State do with another team's schedule?