Oregon State

BMPR #53 AP NR Coaches NR 4-2 Pac-12
Season TimelineCurrent
Power Rating
+3.9
Rank #53
Offense (Adj PPG)
29.8
Rank #42
Defense (Adj PPG)
25.9
Rank #71
Actual Record
4-2
All games played
Projected Wins
6.8
5 games remaining
Expected Wins
3.9
Based on ratings

Schedule

WkDateOpponentPROJ / OUWin%ResultVEGAS ODDS
109/05@#25 Houston logoHouston+10.2 / 55.834%L 20-33 (0-1)+20.5 ✓ / 50.5 O
209/12vs#8 Texas Tech logoTexas Tech+14.7 / 54.126%L 24-35 (0-2)+25.5 ✓ / 52.5 O
309/20vsMontana--W 52-17 (1-2)-17.5 ✓ / 55.5 O
409/27@UTEP logoUTEP-24.9 / 60.290%W 33-7 (2-2)-11.5 ✓ / 56.5 U
510/03@Colorado State logoColorado State-12.6 / 68.570%W 56-26 (3-2)-7.0 ✓ / 62.5 O
610/10vsSan Diego State logoSan Diego State-13.7 / 50.072%W 66-14 (4-2)-14.5 ✓ / 52.0 O
710/17vsWashington State logoWashington State-9.7 / 44.566%--16.5 / 52.5
8IDLE
910/31@Fresno State logoFresno State+0.9 / 52.149%--
1011/08vsTexas State logoTexas State-11.9 / 67.669%--
1111/14@#21 Boise State logoBoise State+11.1 / 59.532%--
1211/22vsUtah State logoUtah State-7.2 / 50.461%--

Unit Breakdown

UnitRawAdjDelta
Offense PPG29.829.8+0.1
Offense YPG471.4442.1-29.3
Offense YPP6.446.34-0.09
Defense PPG24.925.9+1.0
Defense YPG331.0364.0+33.0
Defense YPP5.385.74+0.36

Strength of Schedule

MetricValueRank
Mean (Current)-3.477
Median (Current)-3.681
Mean (Historical)-5.368
Median (Historical)-5.082

View full SOS rankings

Expected Wins (Retrospective)

If Oregon State replayed this schedule with current unit ratings, how would they do?

Actual: 4-2 Expected: 3.9 wins Culture Factor: +0.1 (Neutral)
0-6
0.0%
1-5
0.7%
2-4
6.9%
3-3
26.2%
4-2
40.0%
5-1
22.2%
6-0
4.0%

Projected Wins

Projected Wins
6.8
4-7
1.4%
5-6
10.3%
6-5
27.8%
7-4
35.4%
8-3
20.8%
9-2
4.3%

Entertaining Hypotheticals

Fantasy Matchup

Model a game Oregon State isn't playing this year. Who would win?

Schedule Swap

How would Oregon State do with another team's schedule?