Colorado State

#121 2-10 Mountain West
Historical View Current
Power Rating
-11.3
Rank #121
Offense (Adj PPG)
20.0
Rank #111
Defense (Adj PPG)
31.7
Rank #108
Actual Record
2-10
All games played
Final Record
2-10
Season complete
Expected Wins
4.2
Based on ratings

Schedule

WkDateOpponentProjWin%ResultLINE / OU
108/31@#20 Washington+27.46%L 21-38 (0-1)+20.5 ✓ / 52 O
209/06vsNorthern Colorado--W 21-17 (1-1)-35.0 ✗ / 52 U
3IDLE
409/21vsUTSA+10.733%L 16-17 (1-2)+4.5 ✓ / 58 U
509/27vsWashington State+12.929%L 3-20 (1-3)-4.5 ✗ / 48 U
610/04@San Diego State+16.923%L 24-45 (1-4)+4.5 ✗ / 40 O
710/11vsFresno State+6.040%W 49-21 (2-4)+5.5 ✓ / 48 O
810/18vsHawai'i+8.436%L 19-31 (2-5)-2.5 ✗ / 54 U
910/25@Wyoming+2.746%L 0-28 (2-6)+5.5 ✗ / 46 U
10IDLE
1111/09vsUNLV+12.929%L 10-42 (2-7)+5.5 ✗ / 60 U
1211/15@New Mexico+15.825%L 17-20 (2-8)+15.5 ✓ / 54 U
1311/23@Boise State+20.118%L 21-49 (2-9)+17.5 ✗ / 46 O
1411/28vsAir Force+4.942%L 21-42 (2-10)+2.5 ✗ / 48 O

Unit Breakdown

UnitRawAdjDelta
Offense PPG20.120.0-0.2
Offense YPG318.4342.0+23.6
Offense YPP5.435.38-0.05
Defense PPG34.831.7-3.1
Defense YPG454.0428.2-25.8
Defense YPP6.686.51-0.16

Strength of Schedule

MetricValueRank
Mean (Current)+1.365
Median (Current)+2.056
Mean (Historical)-2.585
Median (Historical)-3.087

View full SOS rankings

Expected Wins (Retrospective)

If Colorado State replayed this schedule with current unit ratings, how would they do?

Actual: 2-10 Expected: 4.2 wins Culture Factor: -2.2 (Underperforming)
0-12
0.1%
1-11
2.2%
2-10
9.6%
3-9
20.6%
4-8
26.3%
5-7
22.1%
6-6
12.4%
7-5
5.1%
8-4
1.3%
9-3
0.2%
10-2
0.0%

Final Record

Final Wins
2
0-12
0.0%
1-11
100.0%

Entertaining Hypotheticals

Fantasy Matchup

Model a game Colorado State isn't playing this year. Who would win?

Schedule Swap

How would Colorado State do with another team's schedule?