| Wk | Date | Opponent | Proj | Win% | Result | LINE / OU |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | 08/23 | @Kansas | +8.4 | 37% | L 7-31 (0-1) | +14.0 ✗ / 52 U |
| 1 | 08/31 | vsGeorgia Southern | -11.2 | 68% | W 42-14 (1-1) | -2.5 ✓ / 54 O |
| 2 | 09/06 | @Oregon State | -7.3 | 62% | W 36-27 (2-1) | +1.0 ✓ / 46 O |
| 3 | 09/14 | vsSouthern | - | - | W 56-7 (3-1) | -37.5 ✓ / 52 O |
| 4 | 09/21 | @Hawai'i | +3.7 | 44% | W 23-21 (4-1) | -2.5 ✗ / 48 U |
| 5 | IDLE | |||||
| 6 | 10/05 | vsNevada | -10.8 | 67% | W 20-17 (5-1) | -12.5 ✗ / 46 U |
| 7 | 10/11 | @Colorado State | -6.0 | 60% | L 21-49 (5-2) | -5.5 ✗ / 48 O |
| 8 | IDLE | |||||
| 9 | 10/25 | vsSan Diego State | +3.6 | 44% | L 0-23 (5-3) | +3.0 ✗ / 46 U |
| 10 | 11/01 | @Boise State | +10.4 | 33% | W 30-7 (6-3) | +17.5 ✓ / 48 U |
| 11 | IDLE | |||||
| 12 | 11/16 | vsWyoming | -9.4 | 65% | W 24-3 (7-3) | -3.0 ✓ / 40 U |
| 13 | 11/23 | vsUtah State | -0.1 | 50% | L 17-28 (7-4) | -1.5 ✗ / 50 U |
| 14 | 11/30 | @San José State | -7.2 | 61% | W 41-14 (8-4) | -3.5 ✓ / 46 O |
| POST | 12/27 | vsMiami (OH) | -5.1 | 58% | W 18-3 (9-4) | -5.0 ✓ / 41 U |
| Unit | Raw | Adj | Delta |
|---|---|---|---|
| Offense PPG | 21.4 | 22.1 | +0.7 |
| Offense YPG | 338.5 | 359.8 | +21.3 |
| Offense YPP | 5.00 | 5.18 | +0.18 |
| Defense PPG | 18.0 | 24.6 | +6.6 |
| Defense YPG | 273.2 | 344.2 | +70.9 |
| Defense YPP | 4.66 | 5.35 | +0.69 |
| Metric | Value | Rank |
|---|---|---|
| Mean (Current) | -4.8 | 112 |
| Median (Current) | -6.5 | 124 |
| Mean (Historical) | -4.3 | 96 |
| Median (Historical) | -5.0 | 99 |
If Fresno State replayed this schedule with current unit ratings, how would they do?
Model a game Fresno State isn't playing this year. Who would win?
How would Fresno State do with another team's schedule?