New Mexico

#57 9-4 Mountain West
Historical View Current
Power Rating
+2.0
Rank #57
Offense (Adj PPG)
25.8
Rank #65
Defense (Adj PPG)
24.0
Rank #52
Actual Record
9-4
All games played
Final Record
9-4
Season complete
Expected Wins
7.8
Based on ratings

Schedule

WkDateOpponentProjWin%ResultLINE / OU
108/30@#25 Michigan+12.929%L 17-34 (0-1)+36.5 ✓ / 52 U
209/06vsIdaho State--W 32-22 (1-1)-17.5 ✗ / 60 U
309/13@UCLA-3.455%W 35-10 (2-1)+15.5 ✓ / 52 U
4IDLE
509/27vsNew Mexico State-17.879%W 38-20 (3-1)-16.5 ✓ / 54 O
610/04@San José State-12.670%L 28-35 (3-2)+1.5 ✗ / 58 O
710/12@Boise State+6.639%L 25-41 (3-3)+14.5 ✗ / 58 O
810/19vsNevada-15.575%W 24-22 (4-3)-14.0 ✗ / 50 U
910/25vsUtah State-4.758%W 33-14 (5-3)-3.0 ✓ / 62 U
1011/01@UNLV+2.746%W 40-35 (6-3)+3.5 ✓ / 62 O
11IDLE
1211/15vsColorado State-15.875%W 20-17 (7-3)-15.5 ✗ / 54 U
1311/23@Air Force-4.858%W 20-3 (8-3)-3.5 ✓ / 54 U
1411/28vsSan Diego State-0.150%W 23-17 (9-3)+1.5 ✓ / 42 U
POST12/26@Minnesota-0.851%L 17-20 (9-4)+1.5 ✗ / 44 U

Unit Breakdown

UnitRawAdjDelta
Offense PPG25.225.8+0.6
Offense YPG302.4360.9+58.5
Offense YPP6.025.91-0.10
Defense PPG21.124.0+2.8
Defense YPG283.1352.8+69.7
Defense YPP5.085.62+0.54

Strength of Schedule

MetricValueRank
Mean (Current)-2.994
Median (Current)-2.490
Mean (Historical)-5.3107
Median (Historical)-6.1106

View full SOS rankings

Expected Wins (Retrospective)

If New Mexico replayed this schedule with current unit ratings, how would they do?

Actual: 9-4 Expected: 7.8 wins Culture Factor: +1.2 (Winners Win)
1-12
0.0%
2-11
0.1%
3-10
0.4%
4-9
1.9%
5-8
5.8%
6-7
13.3%
7-6
21.0%
8-5
23.4%
9-4
19.1%
10-3
10.4%
11-2
3.8%
12-1
0.7%
13-0
0.1%

Final Record

Final Wins
9
5-8
0.0%
6-7
0.0%
7-6
0.0%
8-5
100.0%

Entertaining Hypotheticals

Fantasy Matchup

Model a game New Mexico isn't playing this year. Who would win?

Schedule Swap

How would New Mexico do with another team's schedule?