
| Wk | Date | Opponent | Proj | Win% | Result | LINE / OU |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | 08/30 | @#25 Michigan | +12.9 | 29% | L 17-34 (0-1) | +36.5 ✓ / 52 U |
| 2 | 09/06 | vsIdaho State | - | - | W 32-22 (1-1) | -17.5 ✗ / 60 U |
| 3 | 09/13 | @UCLA | -3.4 | 55% | W 35-10 (2-1) | +15.5 ✓ / 52 U |
| 4 | IDLE | |||||
| 5 | 09/27 | vsNew Mexico State | -17.8 | 79% | W 38-20 (3-1) | -16.5 ✓ / 54 O |
| 6 | 10/04 | @San José State | -12.6 | 70% | L 28-35 (3-2) | +1.5 ✗ / 58 O |
| 7 | 10/12 | @Boise State | +6.6 | 39% | L 25-41 (3-3) | +14.5 ✗ / 58 O |
| 8 | 10/19 | vsNevada | -15.5 | 75% | W 24-22 (4-3) | -14.0 ✗ / 50 U |
| 9 | 10/25 | vsUtah State | -4.7 | 58% | W 33-14 (5-3) | -3.0 ✓ / 62 U |
| 10 | 11/01 | @UNLV | +2.7 | 46% | W 40-35 (6-3) | +3.5 ✓ / 62 O |
| 11 | IDLE | |||||
| 12 | 11/15 | vsColorado State | -15.8 | 75% | W 20-17 (7-3) | -15.5 ✗ / 54 U |
| 13 | 11/23 | @Air Force | -4.8 | 58% | W 20-3 (8-3) | -3.5 ✓ / 54 U |
| 14 | 11/28 | vsSan Diego State | -0.1 | 50% | W 23-17 (9-3) | +1.5 ✓ / 42 U |
| POST | 12/26 | @Minnesota | -0.8 | 51% | L 17-20 (9-4) | +1.5 ✗ / 44 U |
| Unit | Raw | Adj | Delta |
|---|---|---|---|
| Offense PPG | 25.2 | 25.8 | +0.6 |
| Offense YPG | 302.4 | 360.9 | +58.5 |
| Offense YPP | 6.02 | 5.91 | -0.10 |
| Defense PPG | 21.1 | 24.0 | +2.8 |
| Defense YPG | 283.1 | 352.8 | +69.7 |
| Defense YPP | 5.08 | 5.62 | +0.54 |
| Metric | Value | Rank |
|---|---|---|
| Mean (Current) | -2.9 | 94 |
| Median (Current) | -2.4 | 90 |
| Mean (Historical) | -5.3 | 107 |
| Median (Historical) | -6.1 | 106 |
If New Mexico replayed this schedule with current unit ratings, how would they do?
Model a game New Mexico isn't playing this year. Who would win?
How would New Mexico do with another team's schedule?