Air Force

#94 4-8 Mountain West
Historical View Current
Power Rating
-5.3
Rank #94 (T)
Offense (Adj PPG)
26.7
Rank #58
Defense (Adj PPG)
32.5
Rank #113
Actual Record
4-8
All games played
Final Record
4-8
Season complete
Expected Wins
5.9
Based on ratings

Schedule

WkDateOpponentProjWin%ResultLINE / OU
108/30vsBucknell--W 49-13 (1-0)-31.0 ✓ / 54 O
2IDLE
309/14@Utah State+8.636%L 30-49 (1-1)-4.0 ✗ / 52 O
409/20vsBoise State+10.234%L 37-49 (1-2)+10.5 ✗ / 52 O
509/27vsHawai'i+2.246%L 35-44 (1-3)-7.0 ✗ / 52 O
610/04@Navy+7.338%L 31-34 (1-4)+13.5 ✓ / 50 O
710/11@UNLV+10.733%L 48-51 (1-5)+7.0 ✓ / 66 O
810/18vsWyoming-8.964%W 24-21 (2-5)-4.0 ✗ / 56 U
9IDLE
1011/01vsArmy+1.647%L 17-20 (2-6)+1.5 ✗ / 48 U
1111/08@San José State-6.661%W 26-16 (3-6)+6.0 ✓ / 68 U
1211/15@UConn+6.639%L 16-26 (3-7)+7.5 ✗ / 64 U
1311/23vsNew Mexico+4.842%L 3-20 (3-8)+3.5 ✗ / 54 U
1411/28@Colorado State-4.958%W 42-21 (4-8)-2.5 ✓ / 48 O

Unit Breakdown

UnitRawAdjDelta
Offense PPG25.926.7+0.8
Offense YPG373.9381.2+7.3
Offense YPP5.505.62+0.12
Defense PPG26.132.5+6.4
Defense YPG403.2428.5+25.3
Defense YPP7.407.55+0.15

Strength of Schedule

MetricValueRank
Mean (Current)-2.288
Median (Current)-0.981
Mean (Historical)-3.792
Median (Historical)-3.088

View full SOS rankings

Expected Wins (Retrospective)

If Air Force replayed this schedule with current unit ratings, how would they do?

Actual: 4-8 Expected: 5.9 wins Culture Factor: -1.9 (Underperforming)
0-12
0.0%
1-11
0.1%
2-10
1.2%
3-9
5.0%
4-8
12.5%
5-7
20.9%
6-6
23.9%
7-5
19.6%
8-4
11.1%
9-3
4.4%
10-2
1.0%
11-1
0.2%
12-0
0.0%

Final Record

Final Wins
4
0-12
0.0%
1-11
0.0%
2-10
0.0%
3-9
100.0%

Entertaining Hypotheticals

Fantasy Matchup

Model a game Air Force isn't playing this year. Who would win?

Schedule Swap

How would Air Force do with another team's schedule?