Hawai'i

#71 9-4 Mountain West
Historical View Current
Power Rating
-0.6
Rank #71
Offense (Adj PPG)
26.7
Rank #58
Defense (Adj PPG)
28.0
Rank #77
Actual Record
9-4
All games played
Final Record
9-4
Season complete
Expected Wins
7.7
Based on ratings

Schedule

WkDateOpponentProjWin%ResultLINE / OU
108/23vsStanford-6.560%W 23-20 (1-0)-1.5 ✓ / 54 U
108/31@#18 Arizona+16.424%L 6-40 (1-1)+13.5 ✗ / 56 U
209/07vsSam Houston-25.090%W 37-20 (2-1)-7.0 ✓ / 48 O
309/14vsPortland State--W 23-3 (3-1)-35.5 ✗ / 54 U
409/21vsFresno State-3.756%L 21-23 (3-2)+2.5 ✓ / 48 U
509/27@Air Force-2.254%W 44-35 (4-2)+7.0 ✓ / 52 O
6IDLE
710/12vsUtah State-1.352%W 44-26 (5-2)+1.5 ✓ / 58 O
810/18@Colorado State-8.464%W 31-19 (6-2)+2.5 ✓ / 54 U
9IDLE
1011/02@San José State-9.966%L 38-45 (6-3)+2.5 ✗ / 56 O
1111/09vsSan Diego State+2.746%W 38-6 (7-3)+6.5 ✓ / 48 U
12IDLE
1311/22@UNLV+5.940%L 10-38 (7-4)+2.5 ✗ / 64 U
1411/30vsWyoming-11.669%W 27-7 (8-4)-8.5 ✓ / 45 U
POST12/25vsCalifornia-5.659%W 35-31 (9-4)-1.5 ✓ / 50 O

Unit Breakdown

UnitRawAdjDelta
Offense PPG33.426.7-6.7
Offense YPG431.1427.4-3.7
Offense YPP6.405.65-0.75
Defense PPG25.928.0+2.1
Defense YPG403.6368.3-35.3
Defense YPP6.636.30-0.33

Strength of Schedule

MetricValueRank
Mean (Current)-4.2104
Median (Current)-4.8102
Mean (Historical)-2.686
Median (Historical)-1.679

View full SOS rankings

Expected Wins (Retrospective)

If Hawai'i replayed this schedule with current unit ratings, how would they do?

Actual: 9-4 Expected: 7.7 wins Culture Factor: +1.3 (Winners Win)
1-12
0.0%
2-11
0.0%
3-10
0.4%
4-9
2.0%
5-8
6.3%
6-7
13.5%
7-6
21.3%
8-5
24.0%
9-4
18.4%
10-3
9.9%
11-2
3.4%
12-1
0.7%
13-0
0.1%

Final Record

Final Wins
9
5-8
0.0%
6-7
0.0%
7-6
0.0%
8-5
100.0%

Entertaining Hypotheticals

Fantasy Matchup

Model a game Hawai'i isn't playing this year. Who would win?

Schedule Swap

How would Hawai'i do with another team's schedule?