UNLV

#52 10-4 Mountain West
Historical View Current
Power Rating
+2.7
Rank #52 (T)
Offense (Adj PPG)
33.3
Rank #20
Defense (Adj PPG)
31.1
Rank #105
Actual Record
10-4
All games played
Final Record
10-4
Season complete
Expected Wins
8.9
Based on ratings

Schedule

WkDateOpponentProjWin%ResultLINE / OU
108/23vsIdaho State--W 38-31 (1-0)-30.5 ✗ / 67 O
108/30@Sam Houston-25.491%W 38-21 (2-0)-13.5 ✓ / 58 O
209/07vsUCLA-9.365%W 30-23 (3-0)+2.5 ✓ / 54 U
3IDLE
409/20@Miami (OH)-5.659%W 41-38 (4-0)-2.5 ✓ / 50 O
5IDLE
610/04@Wyoming-10.567%W 31-17 (5-0)-4.5 ✓ / 50 U
710/11vsAir Force-10.767%W 51-48 (6-0)-7.0 ✗ / 66 O
810/18@Boise State+7.338%L 31-56 (6-1)+12.5 ✗ / 60 O
9IDLE
1011/01vsNew Mexico-2.754%L 35-40 (6-2)-3.5 ✗ / 62 O
1111/09@Colorado State-12.971%W 42-10 (7-2)-5.5 ✓ / 60 U
1211/16vsUtah State-5.158%W 29-26 (8-2)-4.5 ✗ / 68 U
1311/22vsHawai'i-5.960%W 38-10 (9-2)-2.5 ✓ / 64 U
1411/30@Nevada-12.770%W 42-17 (10-2)-7.5 ✓ / 53 O
1512/06@Boise State+7.338%L 21-38 (10-3)+6.0 ✗ / 60 U
POST12/24@Ohio-2.955%L 10-17 (10-4)-6.5 ✗ / 64 U

Unit Breakdown

UnitRawAdjDelta
Offense PPG31.033.3+2.3
Offense YPG455.1457.2+2.1
Offense YPP6.926.75-0.17
Defense PPG26.831.1+4.4
Defense YPG401.8440.0+38.2
Defense YPP6.646.77+0.13

Strength of Schedule

MetricValueRank
Mean (Current)-4.1103
Median (Current)-3.396
Mean (Historical)-3.691
Median (Historical)-4.797

View full SOS rankings

Expected Wins (Retrospective)

If UNLV replayed this schedule with current unit ratings, how would they do?

Actual: 10-4 Expected: 8.9 wins Culture Factor: +1.1 (Winners Win)
2-12
0.0%
3-11
0.1%
4-10
0.5%
5-9
2.0%
6-8
5.7%
7-7
12.5%
8-6
19.7%
9-5
23.1%
10-4
19.4%
11-3
11.5%
12-2
4.5%
13-1
1.1%
14-0
0.1%

Final Record

Final Wins
10
6-8
0.0%
7-7
0.0%
8-6
0.0%
9-5
100.0%

Entertaining Hypotheticals

Fantasy Matchup

Model a game UNLV isn't playing this year. Who would win?

Schedule Swap

How would UNLV do with another team's schedule?