Florida Atlantic

#113 4-8 American Athletic
Historical View Current
Power Rating
-9.7
Rank #113
Offense (Adj PPG)
25.4
Rank #68
Defense (Adj PPG)
37.7
Rank #134
Actual Record
4-8
All games played
Final Record
4-8
Season complete
Expected Wins
4.7
Based on ratings

Schedule

WkDateOpponentProjWin%ResultLINE / OU
108/30@Maryland+12.430%L 7-39 (0-1)+16.5 ✗ / 58 U
209/06vsFlorida A&M--W 56-14 (1-1)-21.0 ✓ / 51 O
309/13@Florida International+6.040%L 28-38 (1-2)+2.0 ✗ / 56 O
4IDLE
509/27vsMemphis+15.525%L 26-55 (1-3)+14.0 ✗ / 62 O
610/04@Rice-3.856%W 27-21 (2-3)+4.5 ✓ / 54 U
710/11vsUAB-4.958%W 53-33 (3-3)-4.5 ✓ / 66 O
810/18@#13 South Florida+31.20%L 13-48 (3-4)+20.5 ✗ / 72 U
910/25@Navy+16.224%L 32-42 (3-5)+14.5 ✓ / 64 O
10IDLE
1111/08vsTulsa-4.457%W 40-21 (4-5)-4.5 ✓ / 60 O
1211/15@Tulane+19.619%L 24-35 (4-6)+16.5 ✓ / 60 U
1311/22vsUConn+7.937%L 45-48 (4-7)+6.0 ✓ / 64 O
1411/29vsEast Carolina+15.625%L 3-42 (4-8)+6.5 ✗ / 66 U

Unit Breakdown

UnitRawAdjDelta
Offense PPG29.625.4-4.3
Offense YPG428.2394.3-34.0
Offense YPP6.155.76-0.39
Defense PPG36.237.7+1.4
Defense YPG429.5413.2-16.3
Defense YPP6.076.13+0.06

Strength of Schedule

MetricValueRank
Mean (Current)-1.683
Median (Current)-1.587
Mean (Historical)-0.671
Median (Historical)-0.673

View full SOS rankings

Expected Wins (Retrospective)

If Florida Atlantic replayed this schedule with current unit ratings, how would they do?

Actual: 4-8 Expected: 4.7 wins Culture Factor: -0.7 (Underperforming)
0-12
0.0%
1-11
0.9%
2-10
5.5%
3-9
15.1%
4-8
25.0%
5-7
25.2%
6-6
17.5%
7-5
7.9%
8-4
2.3%
9-3
0.4%
10-2
0.0%
11-1
0.0%

Final Record

Final Wins
4
0-12
0.0%
1-11
0.0%
2-10
0.0%
3-9
100.0%

Entertaining Hypotheticals

Fantasy Matchup

Model a game Florida Atlantic isn't playing this year. Who would win?

Schedule Swap

How would Florida Atlantic do with another team's schedule?