| Wk | Date | Opponent | Proj | Win% | Result | LINE / OU |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | 08/30 | vsChattanooga | - | - | W 45-10 (1-0) | -30.5 ✓ / 56 U |
| 2 | 09/06 | @Georgia State | -20.9 | 84% | W 38-16 (2-0) | -14.5 ✓ / 58 U |
| 3 | 09/13 | @Troy | -8.4 | 64% | W 28-7 (3-0) | -4.5 ✓ / 52 U |
| 4 | 09/20 | vsArkansas | -4.1 | 57% | W 32-31 (4-0) | +7.0 ✓ / 60 O |
| 5 | 09/27 | @Florida Atlantic | -15.5 | 75% | W 55-26 (5-0) | -14.0 ✓ / 62 O |
| 6 | 10/05 | vsTulsa | -20.7 | 83% | W 45-7 (6-0) | -21.0 ✓ / 54 U |
| 7 | IDLE | |||||
| 8 | 10/18 | @UAB | -17.3 | 78% | L 24-31 (6-1) | -23.5 ✗ / 60 U |
| 9 | 10/25 | vs#13 South Florida | +6.2 | 40% | W 34-31 (7-1) | +3.5 ✓ / 58 O |
| 10 | 10/31 | @Rice | -18.5 | 80% | W 38-14 (8-1) | -13.5 ✓ / 48 O |
| 11 | 11/08 | vsTulane | -3.0 | 55% | L 32-38 (8-2) | -3.0 ✗ / 54 O |
| 12 | 11/15 | @East Carolina | +3.0 | 45% | L 27-31 (8-3) | +3.0 ✗ / 56 O |
| 13 | IDLE | |||||
| 14 | 11/28 | vsNavy | -7.6 | 62% | L 17-28 (8-4) | -3.5 ✗ / 58 U |
| POST | 12/19 | @NC State | +0.5 | 49% | L 7-31 (8-5) | +6.0 ✗ / 56 U |
| Unit | Raw | Adj | Delta |
|---|---|---|---|
| Offense PPG | 28.0 | 29.8 | +1.8 |
| Offense YPG | 383.2 | 395.5 | +12.3 |
| Offense YPP | 5.65 | 6.03 | +0.38 |
| Defense PPG | 26.4 | 24.7 | -1.6 |
| Defense YPG | 382.9 | 363.8 | -19.1 |
| Defense YPP | 5.96 | 5.67 | -0.29 |
| Metric | Value | Rank |
|---|---|---|
| Mean (Current) | -3.0 | 96 |
| Median (Current) | -1.5 | 86 |
| Mean (Historical) | -2.5 | 84 |
| Median (Historical) | -0.3 | 71 |
If Memphis replayed this schedule with current unit ratings, how would they do?
Model a game Memphis isn't playing this year. Who would win?
How would Memphis do with another team's schedule?