South Florida

#13 9-4 American Athletic
Historical View Current
Power Rating
+12.6
Rank #13 (T)
Offense (Adj PPG)
38.0
Rank #9
Defense (Adj PPG)
24.0
Rank #52
Actual Record
9-4
All games played
Final Record
9-4
Season complete
Expected Wins
9.7
Based on ratings

Schedule

WkDateOpponentProjWin%ResultLINE / OU
108/28vsBoise State-9.866%W 34-7 (1-0)+8.5 ✓ / 64 U
209/06@Florida-6.360%W 18-16 (2-0)+18.5 ✓ / 58 U
309/13@#6 Miami+12.430%L 12-49 (2-1)+17.5 ✗ / 56 O
409/20vsSouth Carolina State--W 63-14 (3-1)-36.0 ✓ / 56 O
5IDLE
610/03vsCharlotte-39.3100%W 54-26 (4-1)-28.5 ✗ / 54 O
710/10@#22 North Texas-0.250%W 63-36 (5-1)+2.5 ✓ / 68 O
810/18vsFlorida Atlantic-31.2100%W 48-13 (6-1)-20.5 ✓ / 72 U
910/25@Memphis-6.260%L 31-34 (6-2)-3.5 ✗ / 58 O
10IDLE
1111/07vsUTSA-16.476%W 55-23 (7-2)-14.0 ✓ / 66 O
1211/15@Navy-11.368%L 38-41 (7-3)-8.5 ✗ / 62 O
1311/22@UAB-27.394%W 48-18 (8-3)-21.5 ✓ / 68 U
1411/30vsRice-32.9100%W 52-3 (9-3)-28.5 ✓ / 58 U
POST12/17vsOld Dominion-10.467%L 10-24 (9-4)-4.0 ✗ / 52 U

Unit Breakdown

UnitRawAdjDelta
Offense PPG43.138.0-5.1
Offense YPG511.2489.4-21.9
Offense YPP7.307.10-0.21
Defense PPG24.024.0+0.0
Defense YPG398.0391.5-6.5
Defense YPP5.305.54+0.25

Strength of Schedule

MetricValueRank
Mean (Current)-0.776
Median (Current)+1.464
Mean (Historical)-5.7109
Median (Historical)-6.4109

View full SOS rankings

Expected Wins (Retrospective)

If South Florida replayed this schedule with current unit ratings, how would they do?

Actual: 9-4 Expected: 9.7 wins Culture Factor: -0.7 (Underperforming)
4-9
0.0%
5-8
0.1%
6-7
1.1%
7-6
4.9%
8-5
13.7%
9-4
24.6%
10-3
27.9%
11-2
19.4%
12-1
7.2%
13-0
1.1%

Final Record

Final Wins
9
5-8
0.0%
6-7
0.0%
7-6
0.0%
8-5
100.0%

Entertaining Hypotheticals

Fantasy Matchup

Model a game South Florida isn't playing this year. Who would win?

Schedule Swap

How would South Florida do with another team's schedule?