| Wk | Date | Opponent | Proj | Win% | Result | LINE / OU |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | 08/31 | vsAbilene Christian | - | - | W 35-7 (1-0) | -5.0 ✓ / 60 U |
| 2 | 09/07 | @New Mexico State | +0.9 | 49% | L 14-21 (1-1) | -3.0 ✗ / 52 U |
| 3 | 09/14 | vsNavy | +11.4 | 32% | L 23-42 (1-2) | +14.0 ✗ / 52 O |
| 4 | 09/19 | @Oklahoma State | +1.2 | 48% | W 19-12 (2-2) | +10.5 ✓ / 54 U |
| 5 | 09/27 | vsTulane | +14.7 | 26% | L 14-31 (2-3) | +14.5 ✗ / 52 U |
| 6 | 10/05 | @Memphis | +20.7 | 17% | L 7-45 (2-4) | +21.0 ✗ / 54 U |
| 7 | IDLE | |||||
| 8 | 10/16 | @East Carolina | +20.7 | 17% | L 27-41 (2-5) | +16.5 ✓ / 54 O |
| 9 | 10/25 | vsTemple | +2.8 | 45% | L 37-38 (2-6) | +4.5 ✓ / 52 O |
| 10 | IDLE | |||||
| 11 | 11/08 | @Florida Atlantic | +4.4 | 43% | L 21-40 (2-7) | +4.5 ✗ / 60 O |
| 12 | 11/15 | vsOregon State | -2.9 | 55% | W 31-14 (3-7) | -1.5 ✓ / 50 U |
| 13 | 11/22 | @Army | +11.9 | 31% | W 26-25 (4-7) | +10.0 ✓ / 44 O |
| 14 | 11/29 | vsUAB | -3.0 | 55% | L 24-31 (4-8) | -9.0 ✗ / 56 U |
| Unit | Raw | Adj | Delta |
|---|---|---|---|
| Offense PPG | 23.4 | 20.1 | -3.3 |
| Offense YPG | 391.5 | 379.3 | -12.2 |
| Offense YPP | 5.44 | 5.08 | -0.36 |
| Defense PPG | 33.1 | 33.0 | -0.1 |
| Defense YPG | 413.5 | 419.9 | +6.4 |
| Defense YPP | 5.84 | 5.95 | +0.10 |
| Metric | Value | Rank |
|---|---|---|
| Mean (Current) | -4.5 | 107 |
| Median (Current) | -7.3 | 128 |
| Mean (Historical) | -3.8 | 93 |
| Median (Historical) | -1.8 | 81 |
If Tulsa replayed this schedule with current unit ratings, how would they do?
Model a game Tulsa isn't playing this year. Who would win?
How would Tulsa do with another team's schedule?