| Wk | Date | Opponent | Proj | Win% | Result | LINE / OU |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | 08/29 | @Charlotte | -8.9 | 64% | W 34-11 (1-0) | -8.5 ✓ / 54 U |
| 2 | 09/06 | vsLindenwood | - | - | W 20-13 (2-0) | -31.5 ✗ / 56 U |
| 3 | 09/13 | @Southern Miss | +7.3 | 38% | L 22-38 (2-1) | -3.0 ✗ / 56 O |
| 4 | IDLE | |||||
| 5 | 09/27 | @Boise State | +19.9 | 18% | L 14-47 (2-2) | +16.5 ✗ / 60 O |
| 6 | 10/04 | vsOregon State | -4.8 | 58% | W 27-23 (3-2) | -1.5 ✓ / 54 U |
| 7 | 10/11 | @Georgia State | -4.3 | 57% | W 41-20 (4-2) | -3.0 ✓ / 56 O |
| 8 | 10/18 | vsCoastal Carolina | -6.0 | 60% | L 37-45 (4-3) | -10.5 ✗ / 48 O |
| 9 | 10/25 | @Old Dominion | +19.7 | 18% | L 21-24 (4-4) | +12.5 ✓ / 60 U |
| 10 | IDLE | |||||
| 11 | 11/07 | vsGeorgia Southern | -2.5 | 54% | L 23-25 (4-5) | -4.5 ✗ / 62 U |
| 12 | 11/15 | @#18 James Madison | +26.6 | 7% | L 10-58 (4-6) | +21.0 ✗ / 54 O |
| 13 | 11/22 | vsMarshall | +2.9 | 45% | W 26-24 (5-6) | +4.0 ✓ / 56 U |
| 14 | 11/29 | vsArkansas State | -2.3 | 54% | L 29-30 (5-7) | -1.0 ✗ / 54 O |
| POST | 12/29 | vsGeorgia Southern | -2.5 | 54% | L 10-29 (5-8) | +10.0 ✗ / 58 U |
| Unit | Raw | Adj | Delta |
|---|---|---|---|
| Offense PPG | 24.6 | 22.4 | -2.2 |
| Offense YPG | 364.6 | 341.4 | -23.2 |
| Offense YPP | 5.38 | 4.87 | -0.51 |
| Defense PPG | 31.9 | 34.0 | +2.1 |
| Defense YPG | 442.8 | 429.9 | -12.9 |
| Defense YPP | 6.03 | 6.23 | +0.19 |
| Metric | Value | Rank |
|---|---|---|
| Mean (Current) | -5.7 | 120 |
| Median (Current) | -7.8 | 132 |
| Mean (Historical) | -4.6 | 100 |
| Median (Historical) | -7.3 | 118 |
If App State replayed this schedule with current unit ratings, how would they do?
Model a game App State isn't playing this year. Who would win?
How would App State do with another team's schedule?