Georgia Southern

#110 7-6 Sun Belt
Historical View Current
Power Rating
-9.2
Rank #110
Offense (Adj PPG)
24.0
Rank #79
Defense (Adj PPG)
36.0
Rank #130
Actual Record
7-6
All games played
Final Record
7-6
Season complete
Expected Wins
5.5
Based on ratings

Schedule

WkDateOpponentProjWin%ResultLINE / OU
108/31@Fresno State+11.232%L 14-42 (0-1)+2.5 ✗ / 54 O
209/06@#13 USC+32.00%L 20-59 (0-2)+29.0 ✗ / 62 O
309/13vsJacksonville State+0.949%W 41-34 (1-2)-3.0 ✓ / 59 O
409/20vsMaine--W 45-17 (2-2)-22.0 ✓ / 58 O
509/27@#18 James Madison+27.36%L 10-35 (2-3)+14.5 ✗ / 54 U
6IDLE
710/10vsSouthern Miss+2.446%L 35-38 (2-4)+3.0 P / 60 O
810/18vsGeorgia State-9.866%W 41-24 (3-4)-6.5 ✓ / 58 O
910/25@Arkansas State+2.945%L 24-34 (3-5)-1.5 ✗ / 60 U
10IDLE
1111/07@App State+2.546%W 25-23 (4-5)+4.5 ✓ / 62 U
1211/15vsCoastal Carolina-6.060%W 45-40 (5-5)-3.0 ✓ / 60 O
1311/22vsOld Dominion+14.826%L 10-45 (5-6)+10.0 ✗ / 62 U
1411/29@Marshall+8.237%W 24-19 (6-6)+10.5 ✓ / 62 U
POST12/29@App State+2.546%W 29-10 (7-6)-10.0 ✓ / 58 U

Unit Breakdown

UnitRawAdjDelta
Offense PPG29.124.0-5.1
Offense YPG433.6360.3-73.3
Offense YPP6.215.52-0.68
Defense PPG29.136.0+6.9
Defense YPG446.6468.5+21.8
Defense YPP6.436.73+0.30

Strength of Schedule

MetricValueRank
Mean (Current)-2.993
Median (Current)-5.6109
Mean (Historical)-3.590
Median (Historical)-4.094

View full SOS rankings

Expected Wins (Retrospective)

If Georgia Southern replayed this schedule with current unit ratings, how would they do?

Actual: 7-6 Expected: 5.5 wins Culture Factor: +1.5 (Winners Win)
0-13
0.0%
1-12
0.2%
2-11
1.9%
3-10
7.3%
4-9
16.5%
5-8
23.7%
6-7
23.8%
7-6
16.2%
8-5
7.6%
9-4
2.2%
10-3
0.4%
11-2
0.0%
12-1
0.0%

Final Record

Final Wins
7
3-10
0.0%
4-9
0.0%
5-8
0.0%
6-7
100.0%

Entertaining Hypotheticals

Fantasy Matchup

Model a game Georgia Southern isn't playing this year. Who would win?

Schedule Swap

How would Georgia Southern do with another team's schedule?