| Wk | Date | Opponent | Proj | Win% | Result | LINE / OU |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | 08/30 | vsMississippi State | +7.1 | 39% | L 17-34 (0-1) | +11.5 ✗ / 60 U |
| 2 | 09/06 | vsJackson State | - | - | W 38-20 (1-1) | -13.5 ✓ / 53 O |
| 3 | 09/13 | vsApp State | -7.3 | 62% | W 38-22 (2-1) | +3.0 ✓ / 56 O |
| 4 | 09/20 | @Louisiana Tech | +7.0 | 39% | L 20-30 (2-2) | +3.0 ✗ / 52 U |
| 5 | 09/27 | vsJacksonville State | -3.8 | 56% | W 42-25 (3-2) | -4.5 ✓ / 56 O |
| 6 | IDLE | |||||
| 7 | 10/10 | @Georgia Southern | -2.4 | 54% | W 38-35 (4-2) | -3.0 P / 60 O |
| 8 | 10/18 | @Louisiana | -0.8 | 51% | W 22-10 (5-2) | -4.5 ✓ / 54 U |
| 9 | 10/25 | vsUL Monroe | -16.4 | 76% | W 49-21 (6-2) | -14.0 ✓ / 48 O |
| 10 | IDLE | |||||
| 11 | 11/08 | @Arkansas State | -1.5 | 52% | W 27-21 (7-2) | -6.5 ✗ / 54 U |
| 12 | 11/15 | vsTexas State | +2.9 | 45% | L 14-41 (7-3) | -3.0 ✗ / 66 U |
| 13 | 11/22 | @South Alabama | -1.3 | 52% | L 35-42 (7-4) | -2.5 ✗ / 53 O |
| 14 | 11/29 | vsTroy | -2.0 | 53% | L 18-28 (7-5) | -6.5 ✗ / 50 U |
| POST | 12/23 | vsWestern Kentucky | -0.6 | 51% | L 16-27 (7-6) | -3.0 ✗ / 59 U |
| Unit | Raw | Adj | Delta |
|---|---|---|---|
| Offense PPG | 27.4 | 23.8 | -3.6 |
| Offense YPG | 392.4 | 359.7 | -32.7 |
| Offense YPP | 5.82 | 5.64 | -0.18 |
| Defense PPG | 28.1 | 30.6 | +2.5 |
| Defense YPG | 397.6 | 426.7 | +29.1 |
| Defense YPP | 5.63 | 6.13 | +0.50 |
| Metric | Value | Rank |
|---|---|---|
| Mean (Current) | -6.0 | 124 |
| Median (Current) | -6.6 | 126 |
| Mean (Historical) | -6.4 | 115 |
| Median (Historical) | -5.8 | 102 |
If Southern Miss replayed this schedule with current unit ratings, how would they do?
Model a game Southern Miss isn't playing this year. Who would win?
How would Southern Miss do with another team's schedule?