Charlotte

#135 1-11 American Athletic
Historical View Current
Power Rating
-20.4
Rank #135
Offense (Adj PPG)
13.0
Rank #135
Defense (Adj PPG)
34.8
Rank #125
Actual Record
1-11
All games played
Final Record
1-11
Season complete
Expected Wins
2.8
Based on ratings

Schedule

WkDateOpponentProjWin%ResultLINE / OU
108/29vsApp State+8.936%L 11-34 (0-1)+8.5 ✗ / 54 U
209/06vsNorth Carolina+9.135%L 3-20 (0-2)+16.5 ✗ / 50 U
309/13vsMonmouth--W 42-35 (1-2)-3.0 ✓ / 66 O
409/18vsRice+2.746%L 17-28 (1-3)+1.5 ✗ / 42 O
5IDLE
610/03@#13 South Florida+39.30%L 26-54 (1-4)+28.5 ✓ / 54 O
710/11@Army+20.218%L 7-24 (1-5)+17.5 ✓ / 46 U
810/18vsTemple+12.829%L 14-49 (1-6)+10.0 ✗ / 48 O
910/24vs#22 North Texas+34.40%L 20-54 (1-7)+25.5 ✗ / 60 O
10IDLE
1111/08@East Carolina+29.43%L 22-48 (1-8)+29.5 ✓ / 56 O
1211/15vsUTSA+21.416%L 7-28 (1-9)+16.5 ✗ / 58 U
1311/22@#8 Georgia+40.30%L 3-35 (1-10)+42.5 ✓ / 54 U
1411/30@Tulane+27.95%L 0-27 (1-11)+31.5 ✓ / 52 U

Unit Breakdown

UnitRawAdjDelta
Offense PPG12.413.0+0.6
Offense YPG239.8254.1+14.4
Offense YPP4.494.33-0.16
Defense PPG39.934.8-5.1
Defense YPG466.5424.6-41.9
Defense YPP6.506.38-0.12

Strength of Schedule

MetricValueRank
Mean (Current)+1.168
Median (Current)+0.672
Mean (Historical)+2.955
Median (Historical)+3.647

View full SOS rankings

Expected Wins (Retrospective)

If Charlotte replayed this schedule with current unit ratings, how would they do?

Actual: 1-11 Expected: 2.8 wins Culture Factor: -1.8 (Underperforming)
0-12
0.5%
1-11
11.2%
2-10
29.0%
3-9
32.4%
4-8
19.3%
5-7
6.4%
6-6
1.1%
7-5
0.1%
8-4
0.0%

Entertaining Hypotheticals

Fantasy Matchup

Model a game Charlotte isn't playing this year. Who would win?

Schedule Swap

How would Charlotte do with another team's schedule?