San José State

#122 3-9 Mountain West
Historical View Current
Power Rating
-11.4
Rank #122
Offense (Adj PPG)
21.6
Rank #103
Defense (Adj PPG)
34.9
Rank #126
Actual Record
3-9
All games played
Final Record
3-9
Season complete
Expected Wins
4.5
Based on ratings

Schedule

WkDateOpponentProjWin%ResultLINE / OU
108/30vsCentral Michigan+1.548%L 14-16 (0-1)-11.5 ✗ / 50 U
209/06@#22 Texas+28.94%L 7-38 (0-2)+37.0 ✓ / 52 U
3IDLE
409/20vsIdaho--W 31-28 (1-2)-14.5 ✗ / 52 O
509/27@Stanford+9.934%L 29-30 (1-3)+3.0 ✓ / 50 O
610/04vsNew Mexico+12.630%W 35-28 (2-3)-1.5 ✓ / 58 O
710/11@Wyoming+4.044%L 28-35 (2-4)-1.5 ✗ / 50 O
810/18@Utah State+15.825%L 25-30 (2-5)+3.0 ✗ / 64 U
9IDLE
1011/02vsHawai'i+9.934%W 45-38 (3-5)-2.5 ✓ / 56 O
1111/08vsAir Force+6.639%L 16-26 (3-6)-6.0 ✗ / 68 U
1211/15@Nevada+3.345%L 10-55 (3-7)-10.0 ✗ / 50 O
1311/23@San Diego State+18.920%L 3-25 (3-8)+10.0 ✗ / 50 U
1411/30vsFresno State+7.239%L 14-41 (3-9)+3.5 ✗ / 46 O

Unit Breakdown

UnitRawAdjDelta
Offense PPG22.021.6-0.4
Offense YPG402.1397.9-4.3
Offense YPP6.125.95-0.16
Defense PPG34.834.9+0.1
Defense YPG390.6415.6+25.0
Defense YPP5.846.29+0.44

Strength of Schedule

MetricValueRank
Mean (Current)-2.186
Median (Current)-2.088
Mean (Historical)-4.295
Median (Historical)-3.992

View full SOS rankings

Expected Wins (Retrospective)

If San José State replayed this schedule with current unit ratings, how would they do?

Actual: 3-9 Expected: 4.5 wins Culture Factor: -1.5 (Underperforming)
0-12
0.1%
1-11
1.4%
2-10
6.9%
3-9
16.5%
4-8
24.8%
5-7
24.2%
6-6
16.2%
7-5
7.2%
8-4
2.2%
9-3
0.5%
10-2
0.1%
11-1
0.0%

Final Record

Final Wins
3
0-12
0.0%
1-11
0.0%
2-10
100.0%

Entertaining Hypotheticals

Fantasy Matchup

Model a game San José State isn't playing this year. Who would win?

Schedule Swap

How would San José State do with another team's schedule?