| Wk | Date | Opponent | PROJ / OU | Win% | Result | VEGAS ODDS |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | 09/05 | vsAlcorn State | - | - | W 49-3 (1-0) | -20.5 ✓ / 51.5 O |
| 2 | 09/12 | @ Auburn | +22.7 / 51.2 | 14% | L 8-43 (1-1) | +32.5 ✗ / 56.5 U |
| 3 | 09/19 | vs UConn | +7.6 / 66.4 | 38% | L 20-48 (1-2) | +3.5 ✗ / 54.5 O |
| 4 | 09/26 | @ Tulane | +12.8 / 48.9 | 29% | L 21-24 (1-3) | +17.5 ✓ / 52.5 U |
| 5 | IDLE | |||||
| 6 | 10/07 | @ Troy | +9.8 / 55.7 | 34% | L 34-55 (1-4) | +9.5 ✗ / 51.5 O |
| 7 | 10/17 | vs Arkansas State | -1.2 / 57.7 | 52% | - | +7.0 / 57.5 |
| 8 | 10/24 | vs Louisiana | +2.8 / 59.2 | 45% | - | - |
| 9 | 10/31 | @ UL Monroe | -9.5 / 58.3 | 65% | - | - |
| 10 | 11/06 | vs James Madison | +20.4 / 60.7 | 17% | - | - |
| 11 | 11/14 | @ Louisiana Tech | +9.3 / 62.3 | 35% | - | - |
| 12 | 11/21 | vs South Alabama | +3.4 / 75.0 | 44% | - | - |
| 13 | 11/28 | @ Old Dominion | +6.6 / 54.5 | 39% | - | - |
| Unit | Raw | Adj | Delta |
|---|---|---|---|
| Offense PPG | 22.1 | 23.7 | +1.6 |
| Offense YPG | 401.0 | 370.2 | -30.8 |
| Offense YPP | 5.92 | 5.90 | -0.02 |
| Defense PPG | 37.8 | 35.7 | -2.1 |
| Defense YPG | 489.1 | 463.3 | -25.8 |
| Defense YPP | 6.45 | 6.37 | -0.08 |
| Metric | Value | Rank |
|---|---|---|
| Mean (Current) | -6.7 | 93 |
| Median (Current) | -5.6 | 92 |
| Mean (Historical) | -7.6 | 95 |
| Median (Historical) | -4.8 | 78 |
If Southern Miss replayed this schedule with current unit ratings, how would they do?
Model a game Southern Miss isn't playing this year. Who would win?
How would Southern Miss do with another team's schedule?