Baylor

BMPR #40 AP NR Coaches NR 4-1 Big 12
Season TimelineCurrent
Power Rating
+7.2
Rank #40
Offense (Adj PPG)
33.1
Rank #20
Defense (Adj PPG)
25.9
Rank #71
Actual Record
4-1
All games played
Projected Wins
7.2
7 games remaining
Expected Wins
3.4
Based on ratings

Schedule

WkDateOpponentPROJ / OUWin%ResultVEGAS ODDS
109/05@Auburn logoAuburn+2.7 / 49.146%L 16-17 (0-1)+6.5 ✓ / 58.5 U
209/13vsPrairie View A&M--W 44-3 (1-1)-37.5 ✓ / 55.5 U
309/19vsLouisiana Tech logoLouisiana Tech-15.4 / 62.975%W 36-19 (2-1)-20.0 ✗ / 50.0 O
409/26vsColorado logoColorado-14.1 / 50.773%W 23-13 (3-1)-8.5 ✓ / 54.0 U
510/04@Arizona State logoArizona State-4.1 / 56.557%W 55-19 (4-1)+3.5 ✓ / 48.5 O
6IDLE
710/17vsTCU logoTCU-4.6 / 52.657%--6.5 / 49.5
810/24@Kansas logoKansas+1.6 / 61.947%--
910/30@UCF logoUCF-3.4 / 53.355%--
1011/07vsIowa State logoIowa State-1.7 / 57.253%--
1111/14@#18 BYU logoBYU+10.0 / 51.434%--
1211/21vs#8 Texas Tech logoTexas Tech+11.5 / 56.832%--
1311/28@#25 Houston logoHouston+7.0 / 59.039%--

Unit Breakdown

UnitRawAdjDelta
Offense PPG28.633.1+4.5
Offense YPG436.4440.4+4.0
Offense YPP5.636.12+0.49
Defense PPG24.825.9+1.1
Defense YPG371.0388.8+17.8
Defense YPP5.505.59+0.09

Strength of Schedule

MetricValueRank
Mean (Current)+2.439
Median (Current)+5.134
Mean (Historical)-6.078
Median (Historical)-3.973

View full SOS rankings

Expected Wins (Retrospective)

If Baylor replayed this schedule with current unit ratings, how would they do?

Actual: 4-1 Expected: 3.4 wins Culture Factor: +0.6 (Winners Win)
0-5
0.1%
1-4
2.2%
2-3
13.7%
3-2
34.3%
4-1
36.2%
5-0
13.4%

Projected Wins

Projected Wins
7.2
4-8
1.3%
5-7
8.1%
6-6
21.0%
7-5
29.8%
8-4
24.7%
9-3
11.6%
10-2
3.1%
11-1
0.3%

Entertaining Hypotheticals

Fantasy Matchup

Model a game Baylor isn't playing this year. Who would win?

Schedule Swap

How would Baylor do with another team's schedule?