Minnesota

BMPR #71 AP NR Coaches NR 4-2 Big Ten
Season TimelineCurrent
Power Rating
-0.8
Rank #71
Offense (Adj PPG)
23.0
Rank #91
Defense (Adj PPG)
23.8
Rank #50
Actual Record
4-2
All games played
Projected Wins
5.7
6 games remaining
Expected Wins
3.3
Based on ratings

Schedule

WkDateOpponentPROJ / OUWin%ResultVEGAS ODDS
109/04vsEastern Illinois--W 59-7 (1-0)-42.5 ✓ / 52.5 O
209/12vsMississippi State logoMississippi State+8.0 / 56.437%L 13-38 (1-1)+1.5 ✗ / 53.5 U
309/19vsAkron logoAkron-20.6 / 46.683%W 41-7 (2-1)-22.5 ✓ / 48.5 U
409/27@Washington logoWashington+8.4 / 44.437%W 27-24 (3-1)+12.5 ✓ / 44.5 O
510/03vsMichigan logoMichigan+6.9 / 41.139%W 20-14 (4-1)+6.5 ✓ / 41.5 U
610/11@Purdue logoPurdue+3.8 / 51.244%L 13-41 (4-2)-3.0 ✗ / 49.0 O
7IDLE
810/24vs#15 Iowa logoIowa+11.7 / 42.131%--
910/31@#1 Indiana logoIndiana+27.9 / 44.65%--
1011/07vsUCLA logoUCLA+8.5 / 48.836%--
1111/14@#24 Penn State logoPenn State+14.3 / 45.227%--
1211/21vs#22 Northwestern logoNorthwestern+9.4 / 44.635%--
1311/28@Wisconsin logoWisconsin+10.5 / 38.833%--

Unit Breakdown

UnitRawAdjDelta
Offense PPG22.423.0+0.6
Offense YPG286.1317.7+31.5
Offense YPP5.045.23+0.19
Defense PPG26.423.8-2.6
Defense YPG363.6326.6-37.0
Defense YPP6.105.46-0.64

Strength of Schedule

MetricValueRank
Mean (Current)+4.624
Median (Current)+9.714
Mean (Historical)-5.064
Median (Historical)+1.041

View full SOS rankings

Expected Wins (Retrospective)

If Minnesota replayed this schedule with current unit ratings, how would they do?

Actual: 4-2 Expected: 3.3 wins Culture Factor: +0.7 (Winners Win)
0-6
0.1%
1-5
3.1%
2-4
18.5%
3-3
34.8%
4-2
29.5%
5-1
12.1%
6-0
1.8%

Projected Wins

Projected Wins
5.7
3-9
0.0%
4-8
13.1%
5-7
32.6%
6-6
32.7%
7-5
16.7%
8-4
4.3%
9-3
0.5%
10-2
0.0%

Entertaining Hypotheticals

Fantasy Matchup

Model a game Minnesota isn't playing this year. Who would win?

Schedule Swap

How would Minnesota do with another team's schedule?