UCLA

BMPR #26 AP #12 Coaches #12 5-0 Big Ten
Season TimelineCurrent
Power Rating
+10.8
Rank #26
Offense (Adj PPG)
32.6
Rank #22
Defense (Adj PPG)
21.8
Rank #31
Actual Record
5-0
All games played
Projected Wins
9.3
7 games remaining
Expected Wins
3.3
Based on ratings

Schedule

WkDateOpponentPROJ / OUWin%ResultVEGAS ODDS
109/06@California logoCalifornia-13.2 / 55.271%W 45-24 (1-0)-2.5 ✓ / 53.5 O
209/12vsSan Diego State logoSan Diego State-19.9 / 49.182%W 28-10 (2-0)-13.5 ✓ / 53.5 U
309/20vsPurdue logoPurdue-13.2 / 59.071%W 52-38 (3-0)-13.5 ✓ / 53.5 O
409/26@Maryland logoMaryland-13.5 / 56.472%W 54-3 (4-0)-2.5 ✓ / 55.5 O
5IDLE
610/10@#10 Oregon logoOregon+9.2 / 54.135%W 17-15 (5-0)+10.0 ✓ / 57.5 U
710/17vsWisconsin logoWisconsin-4.4 / 44.957%--3.0 / 46.5
810/24vsMichigan State logoMichigan State-12.3 / 50.870%--
910/31vsNevada logoNevada-18.6 / 53.780%--
1011/07@Minnesota logoMinnesota-8.5 / 48.864%--
1111/14vsIllinois logoIllinois-10.1 / 58.266%--
1211/21@Michigan logoMichigan+1.7 / 47.347%--
1311/28vs#19 USC logoUSC-0.7 / 61.451%-+10.5 / 55.5

Unit Breakdown

UnitRawAdjDelta
Offense PPG28.832.6+3.8
Offense YPG378.5406.3+27.8
Offense YPP6.186.49+0.31
Defense PPG26.921.8-5.1
Defense YPG344.6313.5-31.1
Defense YPP5.515.25-0.27

Strength of Schedule

MetricValueRank
Mean (Current)+2.438
Median (Current)+0.659
Mean (Historical)+2.914
Median (Historical)+0.543

View full SOS rankings

Expected Wins (Retrospective)

If UCLA replayed this schedule with current unit ratings, how would they do?

Actual: 5-0 Expected: 3.3 wins Culture Factor: +1.7 (Winners Win)
0-5
0.3%
1-4
3.4%
2-3
16.2%
3-2
35.2%
4-1
34.4%
5-0
10.5%

Projected Wins

Projected Wins
9.3
5-7
0.1%
6-6
1.1%
7-5
6.0%
8-4
17.5%
9-3
29.2%
10-2
28.4%
11-1
14.6%
12-0
3.2%

Entertaining Hypotheticals

Fantasy Matchup

Model a game UCLA isn't playing this year. Who would win?

Schedule Swap

How would UCLA do with another team's schedule?