| Wk | Date | Opponent | PROJ / OU | Win% | Result | VEGAS ODDS |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | 09/05 | vs Marshall | -26.6 / 55.4 | 93% | W 45-0 (1-0) | -23.0 ✓ / 52.0 U |
| 2 | 09/12 | @ Temple | -15.7 / 52.4 | 75% | W 27-9 (2-0) | -24.0 ✗ / 50.0 U |
| 3 | 09/19 | vs Buffalo | -23.8 / 49.8 | 88% | W 55-13 (3-0) | -39.5 ✓ / 48.5 O |
| 4 | 09/26 | vs Wisconsin | -5.7 / 41.1 | 59% | L 20-24 (3-1) | -9.5 ✗ / 43.5 O |
| 5 | 10/03 | @#22  Northwestern | +2.3 / 47.0 | 46% | L 13-34 (3-2) | -3.0 ✗ / 46.5 O |
| 6 | 10/10 | vs#19  USC | -2.5 / 57.3 | 54% | L 23-31 (3-3) | +1.5 ✗ / 54.5 U |
| 7 | 10/17 | @ Michigan | +0.4 / 43.3 | 49% | - | +6.5 / 42.5 |
| 8 | IDLE | |||||
| 9 | 10/31 | vs Purdue | -14.6 / 54.9 | 73% | - | - |
| 10 | 11/07 | @ Washington | -3.9 / 47.2 | 56% | - | - |
| 11 | 11/14 | vs Minnesota | -14.3 / 45.2 | 73% | - | - |
| 12 | 11/21 | vs Rutgers | -23.6 / 59.3 | 88% | - | - |
| 13 | 11/28 | @ Maryland | -14.0 / 52.3 | 72% | - | - |
| Unit | Raw | Adj | Delta |
|---|---|---|---|
| Offense PPG | 32.5 | 31.2 | -1.3 |
| Offense YPG | 388.0 | 369.1 | -18.9 |
| Offense YPP | 6.48 | 5.92 | -0.56 |
| Defense PPG | 19.6 | 19.3 | -0.3 |
| Defense YPG | 347.2 | 318.9 | -28.3 |
| Defense YPP | 5.76 | 5.35 | -0.42 |
| Metric | Value | Rank |
|---|---|---|
| Mean (Current) | +0.5 | 55 |
| Median (Current) | -0.1 | 63 |
| Mean (Historical) | -0.3 | 32 |
| Median (Historical) | -1.6 | 61 |
If Penn State replayed this schedule with current unit ratings, how would they do?
Model a game Penn State isn't playing this year. Who would win?
How would Penn State do with another team's schedule?