Purdue

BMPR #64 AP NR Coaches NR 3-3 Big Ten
Season TimelineCurrent
Power Rating
+0.5
Rank #64
Offense (Adj PPG)
28.7
Rank #50
Defense (Adj PPG)
28.1
Rank #84
Actual Record
3-3
All games played
Projected Wins
5.0
6 games remaining
Expected Wins
2.7
Based on ratings

Schedule

WkDateOpponentPROJ / OUWin%ResultVEGAS ODDS
109/04vsIndiana State--W 44-19 (1-0)-35.5 ✗ / 56.0 O
209/12vsWake Forest logoWake Forest+7.6 / 57.938%L 36-38 (1-1)+2.5 ✓ / 51.5 O
309/20@UCLA logoUCLA+13.2 / 59.029%L 38-52 (1-2)+13.5 ✗ / 53.5 O
409/26vs#2 Notre Dame logoNotre Dame+24.5 / 62.011%L 10-49 (1-3)+27.5 ✗ / 57.5 O
510/03@Illinois logoIllinois+5.6 / 61.141%W 24-17 (2-3)+10.0 ✓ / 62.5 U
610/11vsMinnesota logoMinnesota-3.8 / 51.256%W 41-13 (3-3)+3.0 ✓ / 49.0 O
710/17vsWashington logoWashington+2.6 / 53.946%--3.0 / 52.5
8IDLE
910/31@#24 Penn State logoPenn State+14.6 / 54.927%--
1011/07vsMaryland logoMaryland-8.3 / 58.663%--
1111/14@#15 Iowa logoIowa+17.2 / 51.422%--
1211/21vsWisconsin logoWisconsin+5.1 / 47.942%--
1311/28@#1 Indiana logoIndiana+29.7 / 53.12%--

Unit Breakdown

UnitRawAdjDelta
Offense PPG21.928.7+6.8
Offense YPG338.9416.1+77.3
Offense YPP5.296.23+0.94
Defense PPG38.528.1-10.4
Defense YPG452.6399.4-53.3
Defense YPP7.326.25-1.06

Strength of Schedule

MetricValueRank
Mean (Current)+6.414
Median (Current)+9.020
Mean (Historical)+0.125
Median (Historical)+2.137

View full SOS rankings

Expected Wins (Retrospective)

If Purdue replayed this schedule with current unit ratings, how would they do?

Actual: 3-3 Expected: 2.7 wins Culture Factor: +0.3 (Neutral)
0-6
0.5%
1-5
11.0%
2-4
32.1%
3-3
34.9%
4-2
17.5%
5-1
3.8%
6-0
0.2%

Projected Wins

Projected Wins
5.0
3-9
6.3%
4-8
25.6%
5-7
36.2%
6-6
23.7%
7-5
7.3%
8-4
0.9%
9-3
0.0%

Entertaining Hypotheticals

Fantasy Matchup

Model a game Purdue isn't playing this year. Who would win?

Schedule Swap

How would Purdue do with another team's schedule?