| Wk | Date | Opponent | PROJ / OU | Win% | Result | VEGAS ODDS |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | 09/05 | vs Western Michigan | -12.5 / 36.5 | 70% | W 13-12 (1-0) | -27.5 ✗ / 49.5 U |
| 2 | 09/12 | vs#17  Oklahoma | +2.2 / 36.6 | 46% | W 17-10 (2-0) | +5.5 ✓ / 43.5 U |
| 3 | 09/19 | vs UTEP | -33.1 / 51.9 | 100% | W 52-17 (3-0) | -34.5 ✓ / 48.5 O |
| 4 | 09/26 | vs#15  Iowa | +2.3 / 40.0 | 46% | L 19-20 (3-1) | -4.5 ✗ / 39.5 U |
| 5 | 10/03 | @ Minnesota | -6.9 / 41.1 | 61% | L 14-20 (3-2) | -6.5 ✗ / 41.5 U |
| 6 | IDLE | |||||
| 7 | 10/17 | vs#24  Penn State | -0.4 / 43.3 | 51% | - | -6.5 / 42.5 |
| 8 | 10/24 | vs#1  Indiana | +13.9 / 40.9 | 28% | - | +6.0 / 52.5 |
| 9 | 10/31 | @ Rutgers | -14.7 / 54.2 | 74% | - | - |
| 10 | 11/07 | vs Michigan State | -10.9 / 42.9 | 67% | - | -16.5 / 50.5 |
| 11 | 11/14 | @#10  Oregon | +9.4 / 46.1 | 35% | - | +13.5 / 53.5 |
| 12 | 11/21 | vs UCLA | -1.7 / 47.3 | 53% | - | - |
| 13 | 11/28 | @#5  Ohio State | +16.7 / 43.9 | 23% | - | +13.5 / 46.5 |
| Unit | Raw | Adj | Delta |
|---|---|---|---|
| Offense PPG | 24.1 | 27.7 | +3.6 |
| Offense YPG | 334.2 | 381.7 | +47.5 |
| Offense YPP | 5.70 | 6.11 | +0.41 |
| Defense PPG | 18.5 | 18.6 | +0.1 |
| Defense YPG | 272.8 | 297.3 | +24.5 |
| Defense YPP | 4.53 | 4.72 | +0.20 |
| Metric | Value | Rank |
|---|---|---|
| Mean (Current) | +7.2 | 6 |
| Median (Current) | +11.3 | 6 |
| Mean (Historical) | +3.0 | 13 |
| Median (Historical) | +0.3 | 47 |
If Michigan replayed this schedule with current unit ratings, how would they do?
Model a game Michigan isn't playing this year. Who would win?
How would Michigan do with another team's schedule?