Iowa

BMPR #15 AP #17 Coaches #16 5-1 Big Ten
Season TimelineCurrent
Power Rating
+14.4
Rank #15
Offense (Adj PPG)
30.8
Rank #36
Defense (Adj PPG)
16.4
Rank #14
Actual Record
5-1
All games played
Projected Wins
8.8
6 games remaining
Expected Wins
4.1
Based on ratings

Schedule

WkDateOpponentPROJ / OUWin%ResultVEGAS ODDS
109/05vsNorthern Illinois logoNorthern Illinois-31.2 / 42.3100%W 40-0 (1-0)-32.0 ✓ / 44.5 U
209/12vsIowa State logoIowa State-9.5 / 44.965%W 16-13 (2-0)-14.0 ✗ / 42.5 U
309/19vsNorthern Iowa--W 55-0 (3-0)-37.5 ✓ / 48.5 O
409/26@Michigan logoMichigan-2.3 / 40.054%W 20-19 (4-0)+4.5 ✓ / 39.5 U
510/03vs#5 Ohio State logoOhio State+6.4 / 43.540%L 14-31 (4-1)+14.5 ✗ / 46.5 U
610/10@Washington logoWashington-6.5 / 43.860%W 41-24 (5-1)+3.0 ✓ / 40.5 O
7IDLE
810/24@Minnesota logoMinnesota-11.7 / 42.169%--
910/31vsWisconsin logoWisconsin-8.3 / 37.963%--
1011/07@#22 Northwestern logoNorthwestern-0.4 / 43.351%--
1111/14vsPurdue logoPurdue-17.2 / 51.478%--
1211/21@Illinois logoIllinois-9.2 / 50.565%--
1311/27vs#14 Nebraska logoNebraska-3.7 / 49.156%--

Unit Breakdown

UnitRawAdjDelta
Offense PPG26.530.8+4.3
Offense YPG345.5371.6+26.1
Offense YPP5.836.02+0.19
Defense PPG18.216.4-1.9
Defense YPG325.9301.1-24.8
Defense YPP5.104.78-0.32

Strength of Schedule

MetricValueRank
Mean (Current)+2.832
Median (Current)+6.626
Mean (Historical)+0.920
Median (Historical)+6.813

View full SOS rankings

Expected Wins (Retrospective)

If Iowa replayed this schedule with current unit ratings, how would they do?

Actual: 5-1 Expected: 4.1 wins Culture Factor: +0.9 (Winners Win)
1-5
0.2%
2-4
4.6%
3-3
21.1%
4-2
37.3%
5-1
29.0%
6-0
7.9%

Projected Wins

Projected Wins
8.8
5-7
0.2%
6-6
2.3%
7-5
10.5%
8-4
25.3%
9-3
33.2%
10-2
22.3%
11-1
6.2%

Entertaining Hypotheticals

Fantasy Matchup

Model a game Iowa isn't playing this year. Who would win?

Schedule Swap

How would Iowa do with another team's schedule?