UConn

BMPR #79 AP NR Coaches NR 3-3 FBS Independents
Season TimelineCurrent
Power Rating
-2.6
Rank #79
Offense (Adj PPG)
28.2
Rank #53
Defense (Adj PPG)
30.8
Rank #108
Actual Record
3-3
All games played
Projected Wins
6.4
6 games remaining
Expected Wins
3.9
Based on ratings

Schedule

WkDateOpponentPROJ / OUWin%ResultVEGAS ODDS
109/05vsLafayette--W 56-7 (1-0)-19.5 ✓ / 51.5 O
209/12vsMaryland logoMaryland-5.3 / 60.758%L 14-38 (1-1)+11.5 ✗ / 52.5 U
309/19@Southern Miss logoSouthern Miss-7.6 / 66.462%W 48-20 (2-1)-3.5 ✓ / 54.5 O
409/26@Miami (OH) logoMiami (OH)-6.3 / 58.160%L 21-24 (2-2)+2.5 ✗ / 52.5 U
510/03vsSyracuse logoSyracuse-7.2 / 58.662%L 41-42 (2-3)+6.5 ✓ / 50.5 O
610/10@Temple logoTemple-1.3 / 60.352%W 34-20 (3-3)+4.0 ✓ / 55.5 U
7IDLE
810/23vsMassachusetts logoMassachusetts-21.7 / 55.685%--
910/31@Air Force logoAir Force+3.0 / 62.045%--
1011/07vsNorth Carolina logoNorth Carolina-0.8 / 52.451%--
1111/14vsJames Madison logoJames Madison+11.1 / 59.532%--
1211/21vsOld Dominion logoOld Dominion-7.2 / 54.462%--
1311/28@Wyoming logoWyoming-7.2 / 43.962%--

Unit Breakdown

UnitRawAdjDelta
Offense PPG33.628.2-5.4
Offense YPG440.1399.0-41.1
Offense YPP6.856.21-0.64
Defense PPG29.930.8+0.9
Defense YPG456.0447.4-8.6
Defense YPP6.436.44+0.01

Strength of Schedule

MetricValueRank
Mean (Current)-8.8109
Median (Current)-6.798
Mean (Historical)-11.7123
Median (Historical)-8.5105

View full SOS rankings

Expected Wins (Retrospective)

If UConn replayed this schedule with current unit ratings, how would they do?

Actual: 3-3 Expected: 3.9 wins Culture Factor: -0.9 (Underperforming)
0-6
0.1%
1-5
1.6%
2-4
9.0%
3-3
24.8%
4-2
34.1%
5-1
23.7%
6-0
6.7%

Projected Wins

Projected Wins
6.4
3-9
0.4%
4-8
4.6%
5-7
17.5%
6-6
31.6%
7-5
29.8%
8-4
13.7%
9-3
2.5%

Entertaining Hypotheticals

Fantasy Matchup

Model a game UConn isn't playing this year. Who would win?

Schedule Swap

How would UConn do with another team's schedule?