Massachusetts

BMPR #132 AP NR Coaches NR 4-2 Mid-American
Season TimelineCurrent
Power Rating
-20.2
Rank #132
Offense (Adj PPG)
14.7
Rank #134
Defense (Adj PPG)
34.8
Rank #126
Actual Record
4-2
All games played
Projected Wins
6.0
6 games remaining
Expected Wins
3.5
Based on ratings

Schedule

WkDateOpponentPROJ / OUWin%ResultVEGAS ODDS
109/03@Rutgers logoRutgers+16.9 / 55.323%W 37-21 (1-0)+29.0 ✓ / 54.5 O
209/12vsSacred Heart--W 37-10 (2-0)-23.5 ✓ / 53.5 U
309/19vsStonehill--W 36-14 (3-0)-30.5 ✗ / 50.5 U
409/27@Sacramento State logoSacramento State-5.9 / 41.259%W 35-6 (4-0)-6.0 ✓ / 49.5 U
510/03vsEastern Michigan logoEastern Michigan+3.9 / 48.244%L 14-38 (4-1)-6.0 ✗ / 49.0 O
610/10vsMiami (OH) logoMiami (OH)+7.6 / 47.238%L 19-20 (4-2)+6.0 ✓ / 44.5 U
710/17@Buffalo logoBuffalo+12.4 / 45.130%-+3.5 / 44.5
810/23@UConn logoUConn+21.7 / 55.615%--
9IDLE
1011/04vsBall State logoBall State-3.1 / 45.955%--
1111/11@Toledo logoToledo+21.7 / 52.015%--
1211/18vsAkron logoAkron-1.3 / 45.552%--
1311/28@Bowling Green logoBowling Green+8.4 / 42.536%--

Unit Breakdown

UnitRawAdjDelta
Offense PPG18.214.7-3.6
Offense YPG294.2276.4-17.9
Offense YPP5.014.52-0.48
Defense PPG32.634.8+2.2
Defense YPG372.4412.9+40.5
Defense YPP5.846.22+0.38

Strength of Schedule

MetricValueRank
Mean (Current)-16.7138
Median (Current)-14.2138
Mean (Historical)-18.7138
Median (Historical)-19.3137

View full SOS rankings

Expected Wins (Retrospective)

If Massachusetts replayed this schedule with current unit ratings, how would they do?

Actual: 4-2 Expected: 3.5 wins Culture Factor: +0.5 (Neutral)
0-6
0.0%
1-5
1.1%
2-4
13.3%
3-3
34.5%
4-2
34.5%
5-1
14.5%
6-0
2.1%

Projected Wins

Projected Wins
6.0
4-8
6.9%
5-7
25.5%
6-6
35.1%
7-5
23.4%
8-4
7.8%
9-3
1.3%
10-2
0.1%

Entertaining Hypotheticals

Fantasy Matchup

Model a game Massachusetts isn't playing this year. Who would win?

Schedule Swap

How would Massachusetts do with another team's schedule?