
| Wk | Date | Opponent | PROJ / OU | Win% | Result | VEGAS ODDS |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | 09/03 | @ Rutgers | +16.9 / 55.3 | 23% | W 37-21 (1-0) | +29.0 ✓ / 54.5 O |
| 2 | 09/12 | vsSacred Heart | - | - | W 37-10 (2-0) | -23.5 ✓ / 53.5 U |
| 3 | 09/19 | vsStonehill | - | - | W 36-14 (3-0) | -30.5 ✗ / 50.5 U |
| 4 | 09/27 | @ Sacramento State | -5.9 / 41.2 | 59% | W 35-6 (4-0) | -6.0 ✓ / 49.5 U |
| 5 | 10/03 | vs Eastern Michigan | +3.9 / 48.2 | 44% | L 14-38 (4-1) | -6.0 ✗ / 49.0 O |
| 6 | 10/10 | vs Miami (OH) | +7.6 / 47.2 | 38% | L 19-20 (4-2) | +6.0 ✓ / 44.5 U |
| 7 | 10/17 | @ Buffalo | +12.4 / 45.1 | 30% | - | +3.5 / 44.5 |
| 8 | 10/23 | @ UConn | +21.7 / 55.6 | 15% | - | - |
| 9 | IDLE | |||||
| 10 | 11/04 | vs Ball State | -3.1 / 45.9 | 55% | - | - |
| 11 | 11/11 | @ Toledo | +21.7 / 52.0 | 15% | - | - |
| 12 | 11/18 | vs Akron | -1.3 / 45.5 | 52% | - | - |
| 13 | 11/28 | @ Bowling Green | +8.4 / 42.5 | 36% | - | - |
| Unit | Raw | Adj | Delta |
|---|---|---|---|
| Offense PPG | 18.2 | 14.7 | -3.6 |
| Offense YPG | 294.2 | 276.4 | -17.9 |
| Offense YPP | 5.01 | 4.52 | -0.48 |
| Defense PPG | 32.6 | 34.8 | +2.2 |
| Defense YPG | 372.4 | 412.9 | +40.5 |
| Defense YPP | 5.84 | 6.22 | +0.38 |
| Metric | Value | Rank |
|---|---|---|
| Mean (Current) | -16.7 | 138 |
| Median (Current) | -14.2 | 138 |
| Mean (Historical) | -18.7 | 138 |
| Median (Historical) | -19.3 | 137 |
If Massachusetts replayed this schedule with current unit ratings, how would they do?
Model a game Massachusetts isn't playing this year. Who would win?
How would Massachusetts do with another team's schedule?