| Wk | Date | Opponent | PROJ / OU | Win% | Result | VEGAS ODDS |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | 08/29 | @ TCU | +4.6 / 40.8 | 43% | W 15-10 (1-0) | +7.5 ✓ / 46.0 U |
| 2 | 09/12 | vsEast Tennessee State | - | - | W 35-3 (2-0) | -35.5 ✗ / 55.0 U |
| 3 | 09/19 | @ Clemson | +5.1 / 42.4 | 42% | L 20-28 (2-1) | +3.0 ✗ / 44.5 O |
| 4 | IDLE | |||||
| 5 | 10/03 | vs#2  Notre Dame | +22.9 / 51.0 | 13% | L 26-37 (2-2) | +21.0 ✓ / 46.5 O |
| 6 | 10/10 | @ Pittsburgh | +9.6 / 46.0 | 35% | W 21-17 (3-2) | +3.5 ✓ / 47.5 U |
| 7 | 10/17 | @ Duke | +8.4 / 46.3 | 37% | - | +3.5 / 47.5 |
| 8 | 10/24 | vs Syracuse | -8.3 / 45.7 | 63% | - | - |
| 9 | 10/31 | vs#6  Miami | +20.7 / 43.4 | 17% | - | - |
| 10 | 11/07 | @ UConn | +0.8 / 52.4 | 49% | - | - |
| 11 | 11/14 | vs Louisville | +6.9 / 51.2 | 39% | - | - |
| 12 | 11/21 | @ Virginia | +6.1 / 42.5 | 40% | - | - |
| 13 | 11/28 | vs NC State | -2.7 / 50.3 | 54% | - | +1.5 / 55.5 |
| Unit | Raw | Adj | Delta |
|---|---|---|---|
| Offense PPG | 19.8 | 22.7 | +2.9 |
| Offense YPG | 299.5 | 341.2 | +41.7 |
| Offense YPP | 5.41 | 5.82 | +0.41 |
| Defense PPG | 26.1 | 23.3 | -2.8 |
| Defense YPG | 379.6 | 360.3 | -19.3 |
| Defense YPP | 5.31 | 5.33 | +0.02 |
| Metric | Value | Rank |
|---|---|---|
| Mean (Current) | +3.1 | 31 |
| Median (Current) | +3.9 | 41 |
| Mean (Historical) | +2.4 | 16 |
| Median (Historical) | +6.2 | 15 |
If North Carolina replayed this schedule with current unit ratings, how would they do?
Model a game North Carolina isn't playing this year. Who would win?
How would North Carolina do with another team's schedule?