
| Wk | Date | Opponent | PROJ / OU | Win% | Result | VEGAS ODDS |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | 09/06 | @ Nevada | +8.8 / 53.9 | 36% | L 14-49 (0-1) | -1.5 ✗ / 51.5 O |
| 2 | 09/12 | @#3 Georgia | +40.5 / 60.1 | 0% | L 20-70 (0-2) | +40.5 ✗ / 55.5 O |
| 3 | 09/19 | @#1 Indiana | +40.7 / 55.9 | 0% | L 0-38 (0-3) | +44.5 ✓ / 59.5 U |
| 4 | 09/26 | vsMercyhurst | - | - | W 52-7 (1-3) | -39.5 ✓ / 58.5 O |
| 5 | 10/02 | @ New Mexico State | +2.3 / 50.9 | 46% | L 13-34 (1-4) | +1.5 ✗ / 56.0 U |
| 6 | 10/08 | vs Missouri State | -6.0 / 53.2 | 60% | W 34-13 (2-4) | +1.5 ✓ / 56.5 U |
| 7 | 10/15 | @ Sam Houston | -4.1 / 54.0 | 57% | - | -1.5 / 52.5 |
| 8 | IDLE | |||||
| 9 | 10/27 | vs Delaware | -2.3 / 56.4 | 54% | - | - |
| 10 | 11/07 | @ Middle Tennessee | -1.7 / 52.4 | 53% | - | - |
| 11 | 11/14 | vs Jacksonville State | +1.5 / 55.1 | 48% | - | - |
| 12 | 11/21 | @ Liberty | +15.0 / 53.6 | 26% | - | - |
| 13 | 11/28 | vs Kennesaw State | +1.4 / 52.2 | 48% | - | - |
| Unit | Raw | Adj | Delta |
|---|---|---|---|
| Offense PPG | 20.9 | 21.9 | +1.0 |
| Offense YPG | 341.8 | 359.6 | +17.8 |
| Offense YPP | 4.94 | 5.11 | +0.17 |
| Defense PPG | 35.0 | 33.9 | -1.1 |
| Defense YPG | 451.5 | 423.8 | -27.7 |
| Defense YPP | 7.00 | 6.55 | -0.45 |
| Metric | Value | Rank |
|---|---|---|
| Mean (Current) | -6.1 | 88 |
| Median (Current) | -9.7 | 120 |
| Mean (Historical) | -2.8 | 48 |
| Median (Historical) | -11.5 | 125 |
If Western Kentucky replayed this schedule with current unit ratings, how would they do?
Model a game Western Kentucky isn't playing this year. Who would win?
How would Western Kentucky do with another team's schedule?