| Wk | Date | Opponent | PROJ / OU | Win% | Result | VEGAS ODDS |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | 08/29 | @ Florida State | +21.8 / 53.5 | 15% | L 17-34 (0-1) | +31.0 ✓ / 53.5 U |
| 1 | 09/06 | vsMercyhurst | - | - | W 51-14 (1-1) | -29.5 ✓ / 52.5 O |
| 2 | 09/13 | @ Hawai'i | +4.1 / 46.0 | 43% | L 19-29 (1-2) | +7.5 ✗ / 50.0 U |
| 3 | IDLE | |||||
| 4 | 09/26 | vs New Mexico | +17.1 / 47.7 | 23% | L 18-42 (1-3) | +11.5 ✗ / 47.5 O |
| 5 | 10/02 | vs Western Kentucky | -2.3 / 50.9 | 54% | W 34-13 (2-3) | -1.5 ✓ / 56.0 U |
| 6 | 10/07 | @ Florida International | +8.4 / 41.9 | 37% | L 3-22 (2-4) | +7.0 ✗ / 46.5 U |
| 7 | IDLE | |||||
| 8 | 10/22 | @ Sam Houston | -3.1 / 47.3 | 55% | - | - |
| 9 | 10/29 | vs Jacksonville State | +1.8 / 48.7 | 47% | - | - |
| 10 | 11/07 | vs Liberty | +9.9 / 47.2 | 34% | - | - |
| 11 | 11/14 | @ Missouri State | -0.1 / 47.0 | 50% | - | - |
| 12 | 11/21 | vs Delaware | -2.0 / 49.7 | 53% | - | - |
| 13 | 11/28 | @ Middle Tennessee | -0.9 / 45.9 | 51% | - | - |
| Unit | Raw | Adj | Delta |
|---|---|---|---|
| Offense PPG | 19.8 | 18.7 | -1.0 |
| Offense YPG | 360.5 | 316.5 | -44.0 |
| Offense YPP | 5.51 | 5.10 | -0.42 |
| Defense PPG | 30.5 | 30.3 | -0.2 |
| Defense YPG | 379.2 | 369.7 | -9.6 |
| Defense YPP | 5.68 | 5.68 | +0.00 |
| Metric | Value | Rank |
|---|---|---|
| Mean (Current) | -9.4 | 115 |
| Median (Current) | -11.0 | 129 |
| Mean (Historical) | -7.2 | 88 |
| Median (Historical) | -5.0 | 81 |
If New Mexico State replayed this schedule with current unit ratings, how would they do?
Model a game New Mexico State isn't playing this year. Who would win?
How would New Mexico State do with another team's schedule?