| Wk | Date | Opponent | PROJ / OU | Win% | Result | VEGAS ODDS |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | 09/06 | vs Western Kentucky | -8.8 / 53.9 | 64% | W 49-14 (1-0) | +1.5 ✓ / 51.5 O |
| 2 | 09/13 | vsMontana State | - | - | L 7-20 (1-1) | +5.5 ✗ / 51.5 U |
| 3 | 09/19 | @ Middle Tennessee | -7.4 / 48.8 | 62% | L 20-27 (1-2) | -4.0 ✗ / 50.5 U |
| 4 | 09/27 | vs Air Force | +0.6 / 54.0 | 49% | L 33-36 (1-3) | +4.5 ✓ / 50.5 O |
| 5 | IDLE | |||||
| 6 | 10/10 | @ UTEP | -14.2 / 53.2 | 73% | W 30-13 (2-3) | -10.0 ✓ / 48.5 U |
| 7 | 10/17 | @ North Dakota State | +12.1 / 43.9 | 31% | - | +15.5 / 46.5 |
| 8 | 10/24 | vs San Jose State | -4.6 / 45.0 | 57% | - | - |
| 9 | 10/31 | @ UCLA | +18.6 / 53.7 | 20% | - | - |
| 10 | 11/07 | vs New Mexico | +11.5 / 49.7 | 32% | - | - |
| 11 | 11/14 | @ Northern Illinois | -8.8 / 42.6 | 64% | - | - |
| 12 | 11/21 | vs Hawai'i | -7.5 / 48.7 | 62% | - | - |
| 13 | 11/29 | @ UNLV | +8.9 / 48.2 | 36% | - | - |
| Unit | Raw | Adj | Delta |
|---|---|---|---|
| Offense PPG | 28.9 | 22.8 | -6.0 |
| Offense YPG | 354.6 | 324.9 | -29.7 |
| Offense YPP | 5.89 | 5.34 | -0.54 |
| Defense PPG | 25.0 | 28.2 | +3.2 |
| Defense YPG | 360.8 | 391.3 | +30.5 |
| Defense YPP | 5.51 | 5.91 | +0.41 |
| Metric | Value | Rank |
|---|---|---|
| Mean (Current) | -7.9 | 99 |
| Median (Current) | -8.8 | 113 |
| Mean (Historical) | -15.2 | 136 |
| Median (Historical) | -13.3 | 132 |
If Nevada replayed this schedule with current unit ratings, how would they do?
Model a game Nevada isn't playing this year. Who would win?
How would Nevada do with another team's schedule?