| Wk | Date | Opponent | PROJ / OU | Win% | Result | VEGAS ODDS |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | 08/29 | @ North Dakota State | +14.5 / 45.1 | 27% | L 7-33 (0-1) | +7.0 ✗ / 46.5 U |
| 1 | 09/05 | vsEastern Kentucky | - | - | W 49-7 (1-1) | -22.5 ✓ / 51.5 O |
| 2 | 09/12 | @ Ohio | +4.6 / 50.3 | 43% | L 27-29 (1-2) | +2.0 P / 50.0 O |
| 3 | 09/19 | vs Georgia Southern | -1.5 / 55.4 | 52% | W 31-27 (2-2) | -3.5 ✓ / 51.0 O |
| 4 | 09/26 | vs Middle Tennessee | -10.2 / 49.8 | 66% | W 23-13 (3-2) | -7.0 ✓ / 50.5 U |
| 5 | IDLE | |||||
| 6 | 10/07 | @ Kennesaw State | +2.7 / 49.2 | 46% | W 27-26 (4-2) | -3.0 ✗ / 48.5 O |
| 7 | 10/14 | vs Florida International | -0.4 / 45.3 | 51% | - | -3.0 / 45.5 |
| 8 | IDLE | |||||
| 9 | 10/29 | @ New Mexico State | -1.8 / 48.7 | 53% | - | - |
| 10 | 11/08 | vs Sam Houston | -12.6 / 51.3 | 70% | - | - |
| 11 | 11/14 | @ Western Kentucky | -1.5 / 55.1 | 52% | - | - |
| 12 | 11/21 | vs Missouri State | -9.8 / 50.8 | 66% | - | - |
| 13 | 11/28 | @ Delaware | -1.3 / 53.7 | 52% | - | - |
| Unit | Raw | Adj | Delta |
|---|---|---|---|
| Offense PPG | 23.5 | 22.3 | -1.2 |
| Offense YPG | 383.6 | 356.5 | -27.1 |
| Offense YPP | 6.11 | 5.72 | -0.39 |
| Defense PPG | 26.0 | 30.1 | +4.1 |
| Defense YPG | 349.5 | 393.1 | +43.6 |
| Defense YPP | 5.55 | 6.07 | +0.52 |
| Metric | Value | Rank |
|---|---|---|
| Mean (Current) | -11.5 | 131 |
| Median (Current) | -11.6 | 130 |
| Mean (Historical) | -14.1 | 132 |
| Median (Historical) | -11.3 | 124 |
If Jacksonville State replayed this schedule with current unit ratings, how would they do?
Model a game Jacksonville State isn't playing this year. Who would win?
How would Jacksonville State do with another team's schedule?