| Wk | Date | Opponent | PROJ / OU | Win% | Result | VEGAS ODDS |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | 09/05 | @ James Madison | +11.8 / 50.2 | 31% | L 13-20 (0-1) | +6.0 ✗ / 50.5 U |
| 2 | 09/12 | vsGardner-Webb | - | - | W 24-23 (1-1) | -28.5 ✗ / 55.5 U |
| 3 | 09/19 | vs Ball State | -24.3 / 51.0 | 89% | W 51-15 (2-1) | -14.5 ✓ / 49.5 O |
| 4 | 09/24 | @ Coastal Carolina | -10.7 / 48.3 | 67% | W 34-17 (3-1) | -2.5 ✓ / 50.5 O |
| 5 | 10/02 | @ Delaware | -9.8 / 52.1 | 66% | W 30-14 (4-1) | -7.0 ✓ / 51.5 U |
| 6 | 10/08 | vs Sam Houston | -20.8 / 50.3 | 83% | W 35-3 (5-1) | -13.5 ✓ / 52.5 U |
| 7 | IDLE | |||||
| 8 | 10/22 | @ Kennesaw State | -5.7 / 47.3 | 59% | - | - |
| 9 | 10/31 | vs Florida International | -8.3 / 43.4 | 63% | - | - |
| 10 | 11/07 | @ New Mexico State | -9.9 / 47.2 | 66% | - | - |
| 11 | 11/14 | vs Middle Tennessee | -18.3 / 48.6 | 79% | - | - |
| 12 | 11/21 | vs Western Kentucky | -15.0 / 53.6 | 74% | - | - |
| 13 | 11/28 | @ Missouri State | -13.2 / 49.4 | 71% | - | - |
| Unit | Raw | Adj | Delta |
|---|---|---|---|
| Offense PPG | 32.5 | 25.4 | -7.1 |
| Offense YPG | 429.8 | 361.8 | -68.0 |
| Offense YPP | 6.65 | 6.02 | -0.63 |
| Defense PPG | 23.1 | 24.6 | +1.5 |
| Defense YPG | 334.2 | 351.5 | +17.2 |
| Defense YPP | 5.40 | 5.75 | +0.35 |
| Metric | Value | Rank |
|---|---|---|
| Mean (Current) | -12.9 | 134 |
| Median (Current) | -12.4 | 136 |
| Mean (Historical) | -13.4 | 130 |
| Median (Historical) | -15.9 | 136 |
If Liberty replayed this schedule with current unit ratings, how would they do?
Model a game Liberty isn't playing this year. Who would win?
How would Liberty do with another team's schedule?