| Wk | Date | Opponent | PROJ / OU | Win% | Result | VEGAS ODDS |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | 09/05 | vsMurray State | - | - | W 38-14 (1-0) | -22.5 ✓ / 55.5 U |
| 2 | 09/12 | @ Marshall | +6.8 / 52.6 | 39% | L 26-28 (1-1) | +13.0 ✓ / 55.5 U |
| 3 | 09/19 | vs Nevada | +7.4 / 48.8 | 38% | W 27-20 (2-1) | +4.0 ✓ / 50.5 U |
| 4 | 09/26 | @ Jacksonville State | +10.2 / 49.8 | 34% | L 13-23 (2-2) | +7.0 ✗ / 50.5 U |
| 5 | 10/03 | @ Kansas | +24.1 / 54.6 | 11% | L 0-55 (2-3) | +20.5 ✗ / 50.5 O |
| 6 | IDLE | |||||
| 7 | 10/13 | vs Delaware | +1.7 / 51.0 | 47% | - | +2.5 / 48.5 |
| 8 | 10/20 | @ Florida International | +11.8 / 43.3 | 31% | - | - |
| 9 | 10/28 | vs Kennesaw State | +5.0 / 46.8 | 42% | - | - |
| 10 | 11/07 | vs Western Kentucky | +1.7 / 52.4 | 47% | - | - |
| 11 | 11/14 | @ Liberty | +18.3 / 48.6 | 21% | - | - |
| 12 | 11/21 | @ Sam Houston | +0.2 / 48.1 | 50% | - | - |
| 13 | 11/28 | vs New Mexico State | +0.9 / 45.9 | 49% | - | - |
| Unit | Raw | Adj | Delta |
|---|---|---|---|
| Offense PPG | 23.0 | 17.7 | -5.3 |
| Offense YPG | 365.1 | 297.5 | -67.6 |
| Offense YPP | 5.68 | 4.97 | -0.71 |
| Defense PPG | 33.1 | 33.1 | -0.1 |
| Defense YPG | 449.4 | 422.9 | -26.5 |
| Defense YPP | 6.73 | 6.63 | -0.10 |
| Metric | Value | Rank |
|---|---|---|
| Mean (Current) | -9.8 | 121 |
| Median (Current) | -9.7 | 118 |
| Mean (Historical) | -11.9 | 125 |
| Median (Historical) | -8.8 | 107 |
If Middle Tennessee replayed this schedule with current unit ratings, how would they do?
Model a game Middle Tennessee isn't playing this year. Who would win?
How would Middle Tennessee do with another team's schedule?