| Wk | Date | Opponent | PROJ / OU | Win% | Result | VEGAS ODDS |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | 09/05 | @ Troy | +16.0 / 48.8 | 24% | L 21-24 (0-1) | +16.5 ✓ / 53.0 U |
| 2 | 09/12 | vs Tulsa | +7.8 / 49.9 | 38% | L 17-23 (0-2) | +12.5 ✓ / 51.5 U |
| 3 | 09/19 | vsNicholls | - | - | W 59-0 (1-2) | -21.0 ✓ / 50.5 O |
| 4 | 09/26 | @#8  Texas Tech | +40.5 / 55.5 | 0% | L 14-49 (1-3) | +34.5 ✗ / 55.5 O |
| 5 | IDLE | |||||
| 6 | 10/08 | @ Liberty | +20.8 / 50.3 | 17% | L 3-35 (1-4) | +13.5 ✗ / 52.5 U |
| 7 | 10/15 | vs Western Kentucky | +4.1 / 54.0 | 43% | - | +1.5 / 52.5 |
| 8 | 10/22 | vs New Mexico State | +3.1 / 47.3 | 45% | - | - |
| 9 | 10/28 | @ Missouri State | +5.1 / 49.0 | 42% | - | - |
| 10 | 11/08 | @ Jacksonville State | +12.6 / 51.3 | 30% | - | - |
| 11 | 11/14 | vs Kennesaw State | +7.4 / 48.3 | 38% | - | - |
| 12 | 11/21 | vs Middle Tennessee | -0.2 / 48.1 | 50% | - | - |
| 13 | 11/28 | @ Florida International | +14.1 / 44.8 | 27% | - | - |
| Unit | Raw | Adj | Delta |
|---|---|---|---|
| Offense PPG | 16.9 | 17.2 | +0.4 |
| Offense YPG | 314.0 | 322.8 | +8.8 |
| Offense YPP | 5.03 | 4.97 | -0.06 |
| Defense PPG | 32.2 | 35.2 | +2.9 |
| Defense YPG | 440.6 | 454.8 | +14.2 |
| Defense YPP | 6.66 | 6.89 | +0.23 |
| Metric | Value | Rank |
|---|---|---|
| Mean (Current) | -8.2 | 104 |
| Median (Current) | -7.7 | 106 |
| Mean (Historical) | -6.2 | 84 |
| Median (Historical) | -5.7 | 90 |
If Sam Houston replayed this schedule with current unit ratings, how would they do?
Model a game Sam Houston isn't playing this year. Who would win?
How would Sam Houston do with another team's schedule?