| Wk | Date | Opponent | PROJ / OU | Win% | Result | VEGAS ODDS |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | 09/05 | @#20  Texas A&M | +29.7 / 51.1 | 2% | L 0-50 (0-1) | +40.5 ✗ / 53.5 U |
| 2 | 09/12 | vsLindenwood | - | - | W 48-14 (1-1) | -17.0 ✓ / 53.0 O |
| 3 | 09/19 | vs Marshall | +1.4 / 53.4 | 48% | L 24-30 (1-2) | +4.0 ✗ / 52.5 O |
| 4 | 09/27 | @ SMU | +22.9 / 54.5 | 13% | L 24-34 (1-3) | +30.5 ✓ / 60.5 U |
| 5 | IDLE | |||||
| 6 | 10/08 | @ Western Kentucky | +6.0 / 53.2 | 40% | L 13-34 (1-4) | -1.5 ✗ / 56.5 U |
| 7 | 10/14 | vs Kennesaw State | +4.9 / 47.8 | 42% | - | +3.0 / 50.5 |
| 8 | 10/20 | @ Delaware | +6.1 / 51.9 | 40% | - | - |
| 9 | 10/28 | vs Sam Houston | -5.1 / 49.0 | 58% | - | - |
| 10 | 11/07 | @ Florida International | +11.3 / 44.1 | 32% | - | - |
| 11 | 11/14 | vs New Mexico State | +0.1 / 47.0 | 50% | - | - |
| 12 | 11/21 | @ Jacksonville State | +9.8 / 50.8 | 34% | - | - |
| 13 | 11/28 | vs Liberty | +13.2 / 49.4 | 29% | - | - |
| Unit | Raw | Adj | Delta |
|---|---|---|---|
| Offense PPG | 23.0 | 18.2 | -4.8 |
| Offense YPG | 367.0 | 322.7 | -44.3 |
| Offense YPP | 6.16 | 5.40 | -0.76 |
| Defense PPG | 34.0 | 33.2 | -0.8 |
| Defense YPG | 450.5 | 437.5 | -13.0 |
| Defense YPP | 6.22 | 6.34 | +0.11 |
| Metric | Value | Rank |
|---|---|---|
| Mean (Current) | -8.4 | 107 |
| Median (Current) | -9.7 | 119 |
| Mean (Historical) | -5.8 | 74 |
| Median (Historical) | -9.4 | 118 |
If Missouri State replayed this schedule with current unit ratings, how would they do?
Model a game Missouri State isn't playing this year. Who would win?
How would Missouri State do with another team's schedule?