| Wk | Date | Opponent | Proj | Win% | Result | LINE / OU |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | 08/31 | vsLamar | - | - | W 51-0 (1-0) | -27.5 ✓ / 64 U |
| 2 | 09/06 | @Western Michigan | -11.7 | 69% | W 33-30 (2-0) | -12.0 ✗ / 56 O |
| 3 | 09/13 | vsWashington State | -8.6 | 64% | W 59-10 (3-0) | -6.5 ✓ / 58 O |
| 4 | 09/20 | @Army | -10.8 | 67% | W 45-38 (4-0) | -2.5 ✓ / 50 O |
| 5 | 09/27 | vsSouth Alabama | -27.0 | 93% | W 36-22 (5-0) | -13.5 ✓ / 64 U |
| 6 | IDLE | |||||
| 7 | 10/10 | vs#13 South Florida | +0.2 | 50% | L 36-63 (5-1) | -2.5 ✗ / 68 O |
| 8 | 10/18 | vsUTSA | -14.6 | 73% | W 55-17 (6-1) | -4.0 ✓ / 64 O |
| 9 | 10/24 | @Charlotte | -34.4 | 100% | W 54-20 (7-1) | -25.5 ✓ / 60 O |
| 10 | 11/01 | vsNavy | -14.7 | 74% | W 31-17 (8-1) | -6.5 ✓ / 68 U |
| 11 | IDLE | |||||
| 12 | 11/15 | @UAB | -26.5 | 93% | W 53-24 (9-1) | -17.5 ✓ / 70 O |
| 13 | 11/23 | @Rice | -27.6 | 94% | W 56-24 (10-1) | -18.5 ✓ / 57 O |
| 14 | 11/28 | vsTemple | -24.2 | 89% | W 52-25 (11-1) | -20.0 ✓ / 66 O |
| 15 | 12/06 | @Tulane | -4.4 | 57% | L 21-34 (11-2) | -1.5 ✗ / 66 U |
| POST | 12/27 | @San Diego State | -3.8 | 56% | W 49-47 (12-2) | -7.5 ✗ / 56 O |
| Unit | Raw | Adj | Delta |
|---|---|---|---|
| Offense PPG | 46.4 | 41.2 | -5.1 |
| Offense YPG | 559.2 | 480.5 | -78.8 |
| Offense YPP | 8.00 | 7.09 | -0.91 |
| Defense PPG | 26.0 | 28.9 | +2.9 |
| Defense YPG | 398.4 | 418.4 | +20.0 |
| Defense YPP | 5.87 | 5.99 | +0.12 |
| Metric | Value | Rank |
|---|---|---|
| Mean (Current) | -2.8 | 92 |
| Median (Current) | -1.2 | 84 |
| Mean (Historical) | -5.2 | 106 |
| Median (Historical) | -3.8 | 91 |
If North Texas replayed this schedule with current unit ratings, how would they do?
Model a game North Texas isn't playing this year. Who would win?
How would North Texas do with another team's schedule?