Arizona

BMPR #22 AP NR Coaches NR 5-1 Big 12
Season TimelineCurrent
Power Rating
+12.1
Rank #22 (T)
Offense (Adj PPG)
34.0
Rank #18
Defense (Adj PPG)
21.9
Rank #33
Actual Record
5-1
All games played
Projected Wins
8.2
6 games remaining
Expected Wins
4.5
Based on ratings

Schedule

WkDateOpponentPROJ / OUWin%ResultVEGAS ODDS
109/06vsNorthern Arizona--W 35-7 (1-0)-33.5 ✗ / 59.5 U
209/12@#18 BYU logoBYU+5.2 / 47.842%L 17-28 (1-1)+7.0 ✗ / 49.0 U
309/20vsNorthern Illinois logoNorthern Illinois-30.4 / 50.099%W 42-17 (2-1)-34.5 ✗ / 50.5 O
409/26@Washington State logoWashington State-12.1 / 45.069%W 34-24 (3-1)-11.5 ✗ / 47.5 O
510/04vsCincinnati logoCincinnati-11.9 / 57.969%W 34-7 (4-1)-6.5 ✓ / 55.5 U
610/10@West Virginia logoWest Virginia-15.8 / 68.275%W 52-31 (5-1)-3.5 ✓ / 61.5 O
7IDLE
810/24vsIowa State logoIowa State-6.6 / 53.661%--
910/31@#8 Texas Tech logoTexas Tech+11.2 / 52.632%--
1011/07vsTCU logoTCU-9.4 / 49.565%--
1111/14vs#7 Utah logoUtah+8.3 / 55.437%--
1211/21@Kansas State logoKansas State-3.6 / 57.956%--
1311/28vsArizona State logoArizona State-14.0 / 53.773%--4.5 / 52.5

Unit Breakdown

UnitRawAdjDelta
Offense PPG34.134.0-0.1
Offense YPG423.2414.6-8.7
Offense YPP6.266.44+0.18
Defense PPG19.421.9+2.5
Defense YPG338.1355.0+16.9
Defense YPP5.165.10-0.06

Strength of Schedule

MetricValueRank
Mean (Current)+1.546
Median (Current)+3.543
Mean (Historical)-6.181
Median (Historical)-1.762

View full SOS rankings

Expected Wins (Retrospective)

If Arizona replayed this schedule with current unit ratings, how would they do?

Actual: 5-1 Expected: 4.5 wins Culture Factor: +0.5 (Winners Win)
0-6
0.0%
1-5
0.1%
2-4
2.0%
3-3
12.7%
4-2
33.5%
5-1
37.7%
6-0
14.1%

Projected Wins

Projected Wins
8.2
5-7
0.7%
6-6
6.0%
7-5
19.7%
8-4
32.4%
9-3
27.8%
10-2
11.6%
11-1
1.8%

Entertaining Hypotheticals

Fantasy Matchup

Model a game Arizona isn't playing this year. Who would win?

Schedule Swap

How would Arizona do with another team's schedule?