Texas Tech

BMPR #8 AP #10 Coaches #9 5-0 Big 12
Season TimelineCurrent
Power Rating
+20.4
Rank #8
Offense (Adj PPG)
36.0
Rank #12
Defense (Adj PPG)
15.6
Rank #7
Actual Record
5-0
All games played
Projected Wins
10.6
7 games remaining
Expected Wins
4.2
Based on ratings

Schedule

WkDateOpponentPROJ / OUWin%ResultVEGAS ODDS
109/05vsAbilene Christian--W 33-10 (1-0)-45.5 ✗ / 61.5 U
209/12@Oregon State logoOregon State-14.7 / 54.174%W 35-24 (2-0)-25.5 ✗ / 52.5 O
309/19vs#25 Houston logoHouston-12.2 / 50.570%W 28-26 (3-0)-7.5 ✗ / 52.5 O
409/26vsSam Houston logoSam Houston-40.5 / 55.5100%W 49-14 (4-0)-34.5 ✓ / 55.5 O
510/03@Colorado logoColorado-20.8 / 44.283%W 29-7 (5-0)-13.5 ✓ / 50.5 U
6IDLE
710/17vsArizona State logoArizona State-21.6 / 48.985%--13.5 / 48.5
810/24@Cincinnati logoCincinnati-16.3 / 52.976%--
910/31vs#22 Arizona logoArizona-11.2 / 52.668%--
1011/07vsWest Virginia logoWest Virginia-29.9 / 64.598%--
1111/14@Oklahoma State logoOklahoma State-20.6 / 52.383%--15.5 / 61.5
1211/21@Baylor logoBaylor-11.5 / 56.868%--
1311/27vsTCU logoTCU-17.5 / 44.778%--16.5 / 55.5

Unit Breakdown

UnitRawAdjDelta
Offense PPG34.036.0+2.0
Offense YPG390.1405.4+15.3
Offense YPP5.716.01+0.30
Defense PPG13.815.6+1.9
Defense YPG318.4343.9+25.6
Defense YPP4.904.97+0.07

Strength of Schedule

MetricValueRank
Mean (Current)-1.966
Median (Current)+1.456
Mean (Historical)-14.2133
Median (Historical)-12.5130

View full SOS rankings

Expected Wins (Retrospective)

If Texas Tech replayed this schedule with current unit ratings, how would they do?

Actual: 5-0 Expected: 4.2 wins Culture Factor: +0.8 (Winners Win)
1-4
0.1%
2-3
2.0%
3-2
14.8%
4-1
42.2%
5-0
40.8%

Projected Wins

Projected Wins
10.6
6-6
0.0%
7-5
0.3%
8-4
2.8%
9-3
11.9%
10-2
29.0%
11-1
36.8%
12-0
19.2%

Entertaining Hypotheticals

Fantasy Matchup

Model a game Texas Tech isn't playing this year. Who would win?

Schedule Swap

How would Texas Tech do with another team's schedule?