Cincinnati

BMPR #56 AP NR Coaches NR 4-1 Big 12
Season TimelineCurrent
Power Rating
+2.6
Rank #56
Offense (Adj PPG)
28.4
Rank #52
Defense (Adj PPG)
25.8
Rank #70
Actual Record
4-1
All games played
Projected Wins
6.6
7 games remaining
Expected Wins
3.2
Based on ratings

Schedule

WkDateOpponentPROJ / OUWin%ResultVEGAS ODDS
109/05vsBoston College logoBoston College-13.6 / 50.072%W 34-15 (1-0)-7.0 ✓ / 51.0 U
209/12vsWestern Carolina--W 62-10 (2-0)-36.5 ✓ / 61.5 O
309/19vsMiami (OH) logoMiami (OH)-16.2 / 53.976%W 35-31 (3-0)-14.5 ✗ / 50.5 O
409/26vsKansas State logoKansas State+1.1 / 56.648%W 31-26 (4-0)+6.0 ✓ / 55.5 O
510/04@#22 Arizona logoArizona+11.9 / 57.931%L 7-34 (4-1)+6.5 ✗ / 55.5 U
6IDLE
710/17@West Virginia logoWest Virginia-4.8 / 65.958%-+1.5 / 62.5
810/24vs#8 Texas Tech logoTexas Tech+16.3 / 52.924%--
910/31vs#7 Utah logoUtah+18.3 / 55.421%--
1011/07@#25 Houston logoHouston+11.6 / 54.331%--
1111/14@Iowa State logoIowa State+8.3 / 52.137%--
1211/21vsColorado logoColorado-10.4 / 46.467%--
1311/28@#18 BYU logoBYU+14.0 / 46.827%--

Unit Breakdown

UnitRawAdjDelta
Offense PPG22.828.4+5.7
Offense YPG368.9382.9+14.0
Offense YPP6.506.65+0.15
Defense PPG31.525.8-5.7
Defense YPG425.5395.9-29.6
Defense YPP6.175.98-0.18

Strength of Schedule

MetricValueRank
Mean (Current)+2.635
Median (Current)+7.025
Mean (Historical)-6.180
Median (Historical)-8.8108

View full SOS rankings

Expected Wins (Retrospective)

If Cincinnati replayed this schedule with current unit ratings, how would they do?

Actual: 4-1 Expected: 3.2 wins Culture Factor: +0.8 (Winners Win)
0-5
0.1%
1-4
3.2%
2-3
18.4%
3-2
39.1%
4-1
31.3%
5-0
7.8%

Projected Wins

Projected Wins
6.6
4-8
2.7%
5-7
14.3%
6-6
29.2%
7-5
30.2%
8-4
17.3%
9-3
5.4%
10-2
0.9%
11-1
0.1%

Entertaining Hypotheticals

Fantasy Matchup

Model a game Cincinnati isn't playing this year. Who would win?

Schedule Swap

How would Cincinnati do with another team's schedule?