| Wk | Date | Opponent | PROJ / OU | Win% | Result | VEGAS ODDS |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | 09/05 | vsSoutheast Missouri State | - | - | W 38-10 (1-0) | -29.5 ✗ / 52.5 U |
| 2 | 09/12 | @#15  Iowa | +9.5 / 44.9 | 35% | L 13-16 (1-1) | +14.0 ✓ / 42.5 U |
| 3 | 09/19 | vs Bowling Green | -23.5 / 47.6 | 88% | W 55-7 (2-1) | -23.0 ✓ / 43.5 O |
| 4 | 09/26 | vs#7  Utah | +12.1 / 51.6 | 31% | L 17-31 (2-2) | +7.5 ✗ / 46.5 O |
| 5 | 10/03 | vs West Virginia | -15.5 / 62.8 | 75% | W 45-42 (3-2) | -3.0 P / 53.0 O |
| 6 | 10/10 | @#18  BYU | +8.2 / 43.2 | 37% | L 10-24 (3-3) | +11.5 ✗ / 46.5 U |
| 7 | IDLE | |||||
| 8 | 10/24 | @#22  Arizona | +6.6 / 53.6 | 39% | - | - |
| 9 | 10/31 | vs Oklahoma State | -13.4 / 51.5 | 72% | - | - |
| 10 | 11/07 | @ Baylor | +1.7 / 57.2 | 47% | - | - |
| 11 | 11/14 | vs Cincinnati | -8.3 / 52.1 | 63% | - | - |
| 12 | 11/20 | @ UCF | -4.3 / 45.4 | 57% | - | - |
| 13 | 11/28 | vs Kansas State | -4.5 / 52.9 | 57% | - | - |
| Unit | Raw | Adj | Delta |
|---|---|---|---|
| Offense PPG | 27.2 | 29.3 | +2.0 |
| Offense YPG | 359.2 | 407.7 | +48.5 |
| Offense YPP | 5.69 | 6.05 | +0.36 |
| Defense PPG | 20.5 | 21.5 | +1.0 |
| Defense YPG | 342.9 | 368.8 | +25.9 |
| Defense YPP | 5.92 | 5.81 | -0.12 |
| Metric | Value | Rank |
|---|---|---|
| Mean (Current) | +2.0 | 44 |
| Median (Current) | +4.4 | 39 |
| Mean (Historical) | -0.9 | 39 |
| Median (Historical) | +3.5 | 28 |
If Iowa State replayed this schedule with current unit ratings, how would they do?
Model a game Iowa State isn't playing this year. Who would win?
How would Iowa State do with another team's schedule?