TCU

BMPR #51 AP NR Coaches NR 2-3 Big 12
Season TimelineCurrent
Power Rating
+4.3
Rank #51
Offense (Adj PPG)
25.4
Rank #71
Defense (Adj PPG)
21.1
Rank #27
Actual Record
2-3
All games played
Projected Wins
5.0
7 games remaining
Expected Wins
3.2
Based on ratings

Schedule

WkDateOpponentPROJ / OUWin%ResultVEGAS ODDS
108/29vsNorth Carolina logoNorth Carolina-4.6 / 40.857%L 10-15 (0-1)-7.5 ✗ / 46.0 U
209/13vsGrambling--W 63-7 (1-1)-44.5 ✓ / 56.5 O
309/20vsArkansas State logoArkansas State-16.1 / 46.476%W 31-7 (2-1)-18.5 ✓ / 56.5 U
409/26@UCF logoUCF-0.9 / 41.652%L 13-21 (2-2)-3.5 ✗ / 48.5 U
510/03vs#18 BYU logoBYU+6.4 / 39.740%L 10-17 (2-3)+5.5 ✗ / 48.5 U
6IDLE
710/17@Baylor logoBaylor+4.6 / 52.643%-+6.5 / 49.5
810/24vsWest Virginia logoWest Virginia-11.5 / 57.469%--
910/31vsKansas logoKansas-1.2 / 49.252%--
1011/07@#22 Arizona logoArizona+9.4 / 49.535%--
1111/14vsKansas State logoKansas State-1.1 / 48.652%--
1211/21vs#7 Utah logoUtah+14.5 / 47.327%--
1311/27@#8 Texas Tech logoTexas Tech+17.5 / 44.722%-+16.5 / 55.5

Unit Breakdown

UnitRawAdjDelta
Offense PPG19.525.4+5.9
Offense YPG371.2391.4+20.1
Offense YPP5.726.04+0.32
Defense PPG20.121.1+1.0
Defense YPG320.4325.0+4.6
Defense YPP5.405.14-0.25

Strength of Schedule

MetricValueRank
Mean (Current)+3.330
Median (Current)+6.030
Mean (Historical)-7.899
Median (Historical)-9.1112

View full SOS rankings

Expected Wins (Retrospective)

If TCU replayed this schedule with current unit ratings, how would they do?

Actual: 2-3 Expected: 3.2 wins Culture Factor: -1.2 (Underperforming)
0-5
0.1%
1-4
3.9%
2-3
19.7%
3-2
37.5%
4-1
30.3%
5-0
8.4%

Projected Wins

Projected Wins
5.0
2-10
1.6%
3-9
9.9%
4-8
24.3%
5-7
31.1%
6-6
22.0%
7-5
9.1%
8-4
1.9%
9-3
0.2%

Entertaining Hypotheticals

Fantasy Matchup

Model a game TCU isn't playing this year. Who would win?

Schedule Swap

How would TCU do with another team's schedule?